Stock Market Kuyerwa neAvhareji Yezvokuwana Mubayiro
Nzira Yokutsanangurira Historical Average P / E yeS & P 500 Index
Kunyange zvazvo iyi isiri nzira yakarurama nguva dzose yekufanotaura nguva shomanana yekudhindwa kwemusika wekutengeswa, mutengo-mubairo wehuwandu, iyo inozivikanwawo se "P / E," yeS & P 500 Index, inogona kushandiswa senharaunda yakawanda yekugadzirisa kana mashizha angangodaro avharwa kana kuwedzerwa.
Nokutaura, chiyero cheP / E chikwata chematokari kubva kuma1870 chave chiri 15.00. Izvi zvinoreva kuti, kana iwe ukatora muvhareji wematengo emahombekombe makuru muS & P 500 Index uye ugovhura mutengo iwoyo wega wega zvichienderana nemari yaunowana, unowana P / E kune izvo vashandi vakawanda vanodana "mumusika." Kana iyi P / E inopfuura yakakura kudarika 15.00, zvinonzwisisika kutarisira kuti mutengo wemashesi uwire pane imwe nguva uye kana P / E iri pasi, unogona kutarisira kuti mutengo uwedzere.
Debunking iyo P / E: Sei Inogona Kuva Chiratidzo Chinonyengera
Iye zvino pane mamwe maonero, kukosheswa kwematokari kunogona kushambira kure ne 15.00 P / E yepamusoro. Kutaura zvazviri, P / E inowanzotora zvinhu zvezvehupfumi. Semuenzaniso, maererano nehanzvadziperspectives.com, "Muna 1999, mwedzi mishomanana mberi kweType Bubble, huwandu hwepakati hweP / E hwakakunda 34. Wakatarisana kusvika 47 makore maviri mushure mokunge mushamba wacho wapera." Makomborero akawira nokukurumidza kupfuura amanani.
I P / E inhengo (chikwata chakagoverwa nemari). Naizvozvo, kana mari (iyo denominator) inokurumidza kukurumidza kudarika nhamba (iyo numerator), P / E inogona kunge yakanyengera uye ichiita kuti P / E isakanganise kana kuti inenge iri chiratidzo chekudzivirira.
Muchidimbu, P / E iri pamusoro pe 15.00 pane S & P 500 Index haina kuratidza chiratidzo chekutengesa, uye P / E iri pasi pechiyero chechiitiko chinoratidza chiratidzo chekutengesa.
Zvisinei, mutengesi ane njere anogona kushandisa S & P yeP / E seimwe yezviyero zvehutano zvemusika. Iko inowanzoitwa P / E inotarisa kumashure emwedzi gumi nematanhatu kana "TTM" uye tinoziva kuti yakapfuura haisi chivimbo chekushanda kwemangwana.
Kubva pakutsvaga kwekutanga, maonero ematengo ari kuratidzwa kwezvaunotarisira pamusoro remangwana asiwo anoratidza kudiwa kwezvikwereti sepfuma. Semuenzaniso, pakutanga kwegore ra2010, kuburitswa kwebvumirano kwaive kuwira uye US Bonds Bonds mabhiri akanga ari kubhadhara kusvika zero kufarira uye vatengesi vaitsvaga mari yekutora vakatanga kutenga zvikwereti zvinokweretesa zvikwereti uye chikamu chemari pamwe chete .
Uyezve, kureba kwenguva nenguva kubva kune zvinotyisa zvekutengesera kwema2008 kwakaramba zvichipa vatengesi vimbiso yekudzoka zvakare mumatokari kunyange sezvo mutengo wezvinyorwa, zvakadai seDow Jones Industrial Average, yakawana zvinyorwa mumatambo ekutanga kwa2013, apo S & P 500 P / E yakanga ichiripo, iwe wakazvifungidzira, iyo yakawandisa yepamusoro ye 15.00. Nhamba dzemakambani dzakaramba dzichikwira muna 2014 uye pakupera kwegore ra2015, S & P 500 P / E yaiva inopfuura 21.00.
Zvinonzwisisika: Mashoko ari pawebsite ino anopa mazano ekukurukurirana chete, uye haafaniri kushandiswa zvisina kunaka sekutsvaga mazano. Pasinei nemamiriro ezvinhu iyo ruzivo runomiririra hutungamiri kutenga kana kutengesa zvigumisiro.