A Tarisa Pane Zvikamu zviviri zveShoko Rinotarisirwa
Chii Chinotarisa-Kuderedza Kubhadhara?
Vashandi vanoshandisa nzira yekutsvaga kwekutsvaga kwekutsvaga vanotanga kuongorora kwavo kuburikidza nekucherechedza maitiro macroeconomic vasati vashanda ivo kuenda kumatunhu ega.
Semuenzaniso, mutengi wepamusoro-soro angatanga kutanga kuongororwa kuburikidza nekuona kuti nyika dzipi dzinokurumidza kupfuma. Zvadaro, vangave vachitarisa kune dzimwe nyika mukati mehupfumi idzi kuwana mikana yakanaka. Pakupedzisira, vachatarisa makambani ega ega mukati mezvikamu zvakasati vasati vaita chisarudzo chekutsvaga mari. Mutevedzeri anogonawo kutarisa kune zvimwe zvekuita kwezvematongerwe enyika pamwe chete, zvakadai semari yemari kana yebhizimisi.
Vazhinji vari pasi-pasi pasi varimi vari macroeconomic vatengesi vakaisa pfungwa pakuita basa guru pamashandisirwo makuru vachishandisa -kutengeserana mari (ETFs) panzvimbo yevamwe vanhu. Vanowanzova nehuwandu hwekuwedzera pane pasi-up investors sezvo ivo vanonyanya kufunga nezvemusika kutenderera kudarika mamwe mashizha.
Izvi zvinoreva kuti ivo vanogadzirisa zvirongwa zvakawanda pamusoro pekukurumidza uye kwenguva pfupi kuwanikwa kune chero rudzi rwekukosha-based approach yekuwana makambani asina kukodzera.
Vanowanikwa pasi-pasi vanobhadhara kubva pakuwana kune imwe nzvimbo yakasiyana-siyana yehupfumi mune imwe nyika , nyika, kana chikamu sezvo vakashandisa mari yekuisa.
Kunyanya kuvhiringidzika ndeyekuti havana kunyanya kudzora pamusoro pekupedzisira kwekugadzirisa kwemahofisi avo kunze kwekunge vashandise mune zvekutengesa mumwechete kana zvisungo. Nhoroondo yavo inogonawo kuva nehutano hwepamusoro kana ichitarisa kune dzimwe nyika kana mapoka panzvimbo pekusiyana-siyana .
Chii Chinonzi Pasi-Kupera Kuzviisa?
Vashandi vanoshandisa nzira yepasi-up vanotanga kuongorora kwavo kuburikidza nokutarisa kumakambani ega ega uye kuvaka chikwata chemahofisi zvichienderana nemafungiro avo chaiwo.
Semuenzaniso, mutengi wepasi-up angangotarisa zvikwata zvekutengesa nemari yakaderera -inowanikwa (P / E) yehuwandu uye ozoongorora zvikwangwani zvinosangana nezvirongwa zvakananga. Zvadaro, vachatora zvakadzama imwe yekambani imwe neimwe inouya pamusoro pekunonoka uye kuidzidza maererano nedzimwe nzira dzinokosha. Mutyairi anogonawo kuvimba nezvinhu zvekunze, zvakadai sekuverenga kuongorora nyanzvi yekutsvakurudza uye maonero ekuwedzera kunzwisisa.
Vazhinji pasi-up vatengesi ndivo vashandi vanoona nezvekuchengetedza zvikwereti izvo zvinotarisa pane zvakananga zvekambani pavanovaka podfolio yavo. Vanowanzova kutenga-uye-vanobata vatengesi sezvo vachiita mari yakawanda nguva vachitsvakurudza matanda ega pane nzvimbo yakapoteredza matanda. Izvi zvinoreva kuti mari yavo inogona kutora nguva yakareba kuti iite, asi inogona kuva yakanyatsoshanda pakugadzirisa dambudziko uye pakupedzisira inowedzera mararamiro akachengetedzwa kwehutano .
Vashandi vepasi-pasi vanobatsirwa kubva pane imwe nzvimbo iyo inowanzove yakasiyana-siyana maererano nemabhizimusi uye geography uye vanoziva kuti chikamu chimwe chezvikwata zvavo chinosangana nechinangwa chekutsvaga. Zvinonyadzisa ndezvokuti maitiro ari pasi pevari kuongororwa kwepamusoro anofanira kubudisa zviri pamusoro-misika kudzoka kuitira kuti vabudirire. Somuenzaniso, zvingaita kuti pasi P / E ratios chete irege kupfurikidza nehuwandu hweS & P 500 rekuenzanisa kwenguva refu.
Ndeipi nzira Yakanakisisa?
Hapana nzira imwechete iyo yakakodzera kune varairi vese uye sarudzo pakati pekudzika-pasi kana pasi-up inowanzo inonyanya nyaya yezvaunoda. Asi, zvakakosha kuziva kuti aya maitiro maviri ekutsvaga mari haatauriki.
Vazhinji vatengesi vanobatana nepamusoro-pasi uye pasi-up mukusima apo pavaka nzvimbo dzakasiyana-siyana.
Semuenzaniso, mutengi anogona kutanga nepamusoro-pasi uye anotarisa nyika iyo inogona kuona kukurumidza nokukurumidza kwegore rinouya kana maviri. Vangadaro vobva vatora nzira yekudzika-pasi munyika iyoyo nekutsvaga mazvikwereti, zvakadai semakambani ane mari shoma-mari yakawanda kana zvibereko zvakakwirira.
Chinokosha chekubudirira kushandisa aya maitiro ndechokuratidza zviyero zvakakodzera nekuzvinyatsoongorora mumamiriro ezvinhu akawandisa. Somuenzaniso, kana mutengo-mari inobhadharwa yakaodzwa mwoyo mune imwe nyika, inogona kunge yakakonzerwa nehukuru hukuru hwehukuru hwehukuru hwema macroeconomic, dzakadai sarudzo dzinotevera kana kuti kukakavara. Vashandi vanofanirwa kunyatsoongorora zvinhu izvi zvose pavanenge vachiita zvisarudzo zvekutsvaga kuti varege kuita chero zvikanganiso zvinodhura.