Ratio yeSirivha kuGolide Ichawedzera Clarity Pamusoro Pokuti Ungawana Sei Kubva Mumiriri
Uyewo, sirivha (iyo inoshanda seyveshi, iyo nzira iri pakati pesimbi inoshandiswa, uye inokosha yesimbi), inogona kuwaniswa kana goridhe ichikwira, kana kuwedzera mumutengo apo huwandu hwemabhizimisi huchikwirira.
Kufanana negoridhe , sirivha yasvika pane chimwe chinhu chakakosha-kubata-kunyanya (uye kungove ichangobva kuitika), tasvika kusvika mbiri yegoridhe, uye peak sirivha.
Iwe hauna mubvunzo wakanzwa pamusoro peiyo mafuta. Zvakanaka, iyi ikozvino inokosha inokosha yakaenzana neyoyo!
Mitsva yekushanda kwemigodhi yakashoma uye iri mberi. Zvichakadaro, ikozvino magadzirwa emagetsi akachera kuburikidza ne "zvibereko zvishoma zvakanyanyisa," kubudisa zviri nyore uye zvakawedzerwa-zvinowanikwa, zvichisiya kungoramba kuri kuwedzera zvakabuda.
Kubudirira kuri kuderera, uye mari yekuwana uye kubvisa izvo zvigadzirwa zviri kuwedzera (kunyange zvazvo zvichida kukanganisa nekufambira mberi mune zvemichina yakashandiswa panguva ino).
Mune mamwe mazwi, pasi rose, hatingambokwanisi kutora uye kubudisa zvigadzirwa zvinokosha pane parizvino, kana yakakwirira. Ikoko pachava nekunonoka kuderera.
Mukuwedzera, kwekutanga kokutanga (yakamboitika), ZOSE siri yakabudiswa inoshandiswa kumashandisirwo emabhizimisi.
Tsvina iri kuenda kune zvinhu zvakadai se:
- electronics
- nyamba
- kudya midziyo
- mafuta emvura
- mazinyo
- solar panels
- soldering pipelines
- antifreeze
- investments
- zvishongo
- kupikisa
- mishonga
- girazi
- motokari engines
- mirror
- industrial industrial chemicals
- plastics
- uyezve ...
Ndarama , kune rumwe rutivi, ine zvishoma zvese zvinoshandiswa, asi chaizvoizvo inovhenekera sesimbi yekutsvaga.
Funga zvishongo zvekushongedza, uye Central Bank kutenga zvigaro zvakasimba kubva kune dzimwe nyika dzenyika. Inowanzoonekwawo semhepo inoenda kune imwe nzvimbo.
Hondo inopera here? European Union inopera. Mutungamiri wezvematongerwo enyika mukuru anotadza here? Iwe unoda kuva negoridhe, uye munhu wose achange achizvitenga.
Zvechokwadi, chero nguva yaunoda kutenga ndarama , zvingatove zvakaoma kuwana. Apo chimwe chinhu chinoitika kuendesa vanhu mari yekusimwa mumatare anokosha, kazhinji zvido zvinonyanya kuvhara chero kupi zvako kunowanikwa. Izvi zvinoreva nzira imwe chete yekuwana goridhe chaiyo yekugadzirira kutenga nguva mberi, apo pasina mumwe munhu ane pfungwa imwechete!
Zvisinei, vanhu vanogona kunge vakanyanya kunyanya kushandiswa kwezvinhu zvakasikwa "muvharo." Vanogona kufunga kuti goridhe ichawedzera, saka kutenga goridhe kunenge kuve mari yakanaka. Zvimwe, kana vakatarisira kuti mari yakawanda inoshandiswa, vangatenga zvimwe zvesimbi.
Zvisinei, chii chingava chinobatsira zvikuru, uye kupa humwezve kujekesa, kuchengeta ziso pamusoro pechiyero chekukosha pakati pezviviri zvavo. Kunyanya, iyo sirivha kuhutori hwegoridhe.
Chiyero ichocho chinongofananidza mari yakawanda sei iyo inodiwa kuti utenge yakawanda yegoridhe. Saka, somuenzaniso, kana zvingatora mashekeri makumi mashanu esirivha kuti atenge kamwe chete yegoridhe, zvino chiyero chaive che 75.
Zvakakosha kutarisa uye kuziva nhamba chaiyo yezvigadzirwa, asi inogona kuwedzera chimwe chimiro chekuongorora kwako nekutsvaga kuchinja kwavanoita kana vachienzaniswa. Funga nezvazvo sekusarudza yokudya kwekudya kwemanheru; mumwe ane zvokudya zviri nani, asi zvinodhura; imwe yacho inoshandisa mutengo wakaderera, asi ine mutengo wakadzika.
Iwe unogona kunge usingazivi pakutanga kuti ndeupi kukosha kuri nani. Zvisinei, kana ivo vanocheka vane hutano vachikwanisa kuvhara mutengo wavo, kana iyo yakakwirira yepamusoro inodonha mitengo yavo zvakanyanya, saka iwe kamwe kamwe unoziva kuti ndiani anomiririra kukosha kukuru.
Kurindira sirivha iyo yegoridhe yezviyero kunogona kupa ruzivo rwakakosha mune zvese zvinokosha zvesimbi. Nhoroondo yekare, ingadai yakatora mashekeri makumi matatu kusvika ku40 esirivha kutenga imwe chete yegoridhe.
Izvi zvinoreva kuti chiyero chepamusoro makumi matanhatu chinomiririra sirivha isingakoshi, asi chiyero chiri pasi pe20 chinoratidza goridhe risina kukodzera. Zvisinei, cherechedza mupfungwa kuti iyi yose pfungwa inoyerera kupfuura kwenguva yakareba (makore, kwete mwedzi).
Nhamba yacho inogona kunge iri yakakwirira kwazvo, asi izvozvo hazvirevi kuti zvichadzoka kune mamwe maitiro anonzwisisika mukati memwedzi (kunyange zvazvo kazhinji inogona). Zvichida, zvinotora makore mashomanana, asi zvakapiwa nguva yakareba, chiyero chacho chinodzokera kumigariro yezvakanyorwa.
Ichokwadi, kunyange mu "nzira yakakwirira kwazvo" mamiriro ezvinhu ataurwa pamusoro apa, zvinogona kunge zvichinyanya kuwedzera mundima yakanyanya. Chiyero chema80 (chinonyanya kukwirira) chinogona kuenda kune 90, kana kunyange chakakwirira (kunyange zvisingaiti), isati yasvika kune dzimwe nhoroondo-dzakasununguka.
Uyezve, zviitiko zvakawanda zvezve geopolitical uye zvepasi pose zvinotangira mumitengo yeimwe yemidziyo:
- imwe yakasimba kana yakaderera yeDhora reAmerica ichaita kuti zvese zvese zvive zvakaenzana
- kuwedzera kwemari yemari kuchaita kuti kuve nekuderera kwezvinhu zvegoridhe
- kuderera kunoreva kuderera kwemaitiro emabhizimisi, saka zvido zvishoma zvesirivha kuita zvigadzirwa, uye saka mitengo yakaderera yeyo simbi
- kuputika kwehondo, kana kutengesa kwenyika, kana kukanganisa kwemusika wezvikwata zvinowanzova zvakanaka kwazvo kutiza-ku-kuchengetedza zvinhu, zvakadai segoridhe
Mune mamwe mazwi, zvichienderana neve geopolitical uye yepasi rose, zvinhu zvose zvinogona kunzwa manzwiro pamatengo avo. Kunyange zvakadaro, zvisinei nokuti zvinokonzerwa nemitengo yegoridhe nesirivha, vachagara vachiedza kudzokera kune imwe-yakawanda chiyero chemazana makumi matatu kusvika ku40 ... kunyange zvingatora gore kana maviri pavanotanga kudzokera kune iyo maruva.
Muna 1915, ungadai wakatengesa maawa maserevha esirivha mukutsinhana imwe chete yegoridhe. Muna 1940, pedyo nekutanga kweHondo Yenyika II, ndarama yakasimudzirwa seyakachengeteka nzvimbo yakachengeteka, uye chiyero chacho chaiva 97 kusvika 1.
Nekutengesa kwemhepo kwakasununguka muna 1979, Federal Federal Chairman, Paul Volcker, yakasimudza chikwereti chezvibereko kusvika 21 muzana. Izvi zvakaguma nekudzinga mitengo yegoridhe, iyo yakazopedzisira yakagadzira yakaderera-sirivha yose kusvika kugodi yegoridhe ye14.
Nepo kuedza kufanotaura zvichaitika mune ramangwana mumitengo yemunhu mumwechete zvingave zvakaoma, zvingava zviri nyore kwazvo kuisa mari kuburikidza nehukama pakati pezviviri. Apo sirivha yegoridhe yehutori yakadzika (pasi pe30), ipapo sirivha pachayo inowanzokurumidza kukurumidza kupfuura (kana kuwira zvishoma kupfuura) chero ipi zvayo inoita kuti iwe uone mugoridhe.
Kana chiyero chapamusoro (chikuru kupfuura makumi matanhatu), ipapo sirivha inowanzowa nokukurumidza (kana kuwedzera zvishoma pakuderera kwezvigadzirwa zvematare) kupfuura chero ipi zvayo inoita kuti uone pamitengo yesimbi inodhura. Somuenzaniso, kana chiyero chacho chiri 80 kusvika ku1, uye goridhe inokwira 3 muzana, sirivha inogona kunge isina kuwedzera zvachose.
Ukama huri pakati pematare maviri ndihwo hunokosha. Zvichienderera mberi, kunyange zvazvo zvichingoitika kwenguva refu, chiyero chinogara chichitsvaga kudzokera kune nhoroondo yevheji yakareba pakati pe30 kusvika ku50.
Zvinogona kupikiswa kuti kana chiyero chacho chiri pasi, ndarama haifaniri kutarisirwa kune imwe yendarira. Apo chiyero ichikwirira, sirivha ndiyo inonyanya kukoshesa yezviviri.
Muna March wegore ra2016, sirivha yegoridhe yehutori yakakonzera 80.57. Kana uine imwe yegoridhe, yaive yakakodzera 80.57 ounces esirivha.
Iyo yepamusoro yakanga iri yepamusoro-soro yakange iri, kubva muna 1991, apo yakasvika zana! Mumakore manomwe, chiyero chakanga chawa kusvika kusvika 47 - izvi zvakaitika kuburikidza nekubatanidzwa kwegoridhe kuchikwira nekukurumidza, kana sirivha ichiwa nokukurumidza, zvakaenzana, kusvikira chiyero chakanga chichigadziriswa pane dzimwe nhoroondo dzakamira.
Muna March, apo imwe yero (kana bhari imwe kana imwe yemari) yesimbi inodhura inogona kutenga 80.57 ounces (kana mabheji kana mari) yesimbi shoma shoma, ndakaratidza kuti chiyero chakanga chisina kubviswa. Sirivha zvechokwadi yaizofanira kusimuka nokukurumidza kupfuura goridhe ... uye ndizvo chaizvo zvakazoitika, kusvika iyo sirivha kuenzanisi yegoridhe yakasvika kune imwe yakakosha yenhamba ye 67.
Izvo zvose zvakatamba kunze kwemwedzi mina inokurumidza. Kunyangwe pane izvi zvitsva, zvinowanzoitika, pane nzvimbo yakawanda yepamusoro-famba-inofadza kufamba. Chikamu ichi chichiri chakakwirira kwazvo, uye ini ndinotarisira kuti chikwanise kuwedzera zvakare (kana kuburikidza nokuwedzera kukuru kwesirivha, kana kukura kukuru kubva kugoridhe, zvichienzaniswa).
Maonero angu ndeyekutengesa kwepamusoro kwegoridhe. Mumamiriro ezvinhu akadaro, iyo nzira chete yekuti sirivha yegoridhe chiyero chekuendesa kuenderera mberi kune maitiro ezvakaitika kare ndeyesirivha yekukwira nekudarika kupfuura iyo inowirirana.
Kana goridhe ichikwira 100 muzana, sirivha inofanira kusimuka nekudarika kupfuura iyo inenge. Muchiitiko ichocho, sirivha yaizowedzera nemazana 200 muzana kuitira kuti udzore chiyero zvakare kune 40 yakafanira kupfuura 1.
Imwe nzira yekutamba (kureva kutengeserana) sirivha yegoridhe chiyero, kune zvimwe zvikwereti zvinokosha, ndeyekuita zvisarudzo zvichienderana nehuwandu pachako sezvaunogona kutengeserana nepamusoro pakati pezvinhu zviviri. Kana imwe yesimbi inodhura ichifananidzwa neimwe, iwe unogona kutengesa "zvakanyanya" kune imwe, uye kutamisa mari yacho mu "kusakosha" imwe. Zvadaro, kana chiyero ichi chienda kune imwe nzira mugore kana maviri, iwe unoita zvakanyatsofanana zvakare, uchitengesa zvinhu zvakapedzerwa zvepasi.
Somuenzaniso, iwe unotengesa imwe yegoridhe kana chiyero chiri pa80, chinokupa maawa maserevha esirivha. Zvadaro, makore mashomanana gare gare apo uwandu hunopera makumi maviri, iwe unogona kutengesa maounces makumi mana, uchichinjana maoundi mana endarama.
Iwe unongowedzera huwandu hwekutsvaga kwako, uchibva kune imwe chete kusvika kune ina mune mishonga miviri chete. Zvino, fungidzira uchiita izvozvo zvishoma chete, uye kunyange zvazvo iyi iri nguva yakareba kwenguva refu, inogona kuva yakakosha zvikuru.
Zvechokwadi, imwe nzira yakadaro inogona kuva yakaoma kamwe chete mari, inshuwarisi, mabhizimisi emakambani, uye kusiyana kwakasiyana kwekutengesa kunowanikwa mukati. Somuenzaniso, kunyange rakanakisisa, rinoremekedzwa paIndaneti rinokosha mutengesi wedhina seGoldSilver.com riri kukubhadhara iwe zvishoma zvishoma, asi munhu wose anoita izvozvo, uye mari yavo ndeimwe yepasi.
Zvisinei, kutengeserana uye kubuda mune zvimwe zvinhu, zvakadai seSprott Physical Gold Trust, uyewo neSprott Physical Silver Trust, zvinoita kuti zvive nyore kutama pakati pezviviri, sekutengeswa kwematokari, uye zvinotsigirwa nesimbi chaiyo pachavo. Kana iwe uchitenga mashekeri makumi maviri emasirivha, pane mairi 24 emairi chaiwo, sirivha chaiyo, yakachengetwa muNational Vaults kwauri.
Uyewo, dzimwe Exchange Exchange Fund (ETFs) , kufanana neSLV neGLD, inogonawo kuunza zvakafanana kana uchitengesa sirivha kuhutori hwegoridhe. Zvisinei, chengetedza pfungwa iyi inokosha mupfungwa - pane musiyano mukuru pakati pezvakagadzirwa masimba (zvakadai seawo unogona kubata muruoko rwako), uye "mapepa emashizha," akadai se ETFs Somuenzaniso, kana iwe ukatenga GLD, iwe hausi chaizvo ane chero goridhe Pane kudaro, une mari yekutsvaga pamapepa anoedza kuisa kukosha kwayo pamusoro pematare, asi zvechokwadi izvo zvawatenga chikamu chepa pepa, kana kontrakiti.
Muzviitiko zvakawanda, mamwe emapurisa emapuraneti ane mapepa akawanda evanhu mazana maviri (kana kupfuurawo), vose vari kutora kudai. Mune mamwe mazwi, havatauri chirevo chechokwadi chechinhu chipi zvacho chesimbi.
Sezvo zvakadaro, unogona kusangana nemibvunzo kana vanhu vakawanda vachiedza kuwana goridhe chaiyo kana sirivha kamwechete. Zvichida, sezvo zvisiri "zvechokwadi" zvakabatanidzwa nemhando chaiyo (izvo zvisingakwanisi zvisizvo), uye izvo zvisiri panzvimbo zvachose zvisingagoneki (zvinogona kugadzira GLD kana SLV yakawanda sezvavanosarudza), iyo inogona kukanganisa kushandiswa.