Ziva Nguva Yokuzadza "Em
Mubvunzo
Unokwanisa here kupa chero hutungamiri pane nguva yekuvhara pfuma yakawanda yesimbi iron condor? Ndiri kuziva nguva yekubuda kana zvishoma zvandinosarudza zvichityisidzirwa (kureva., Hazvisi kure kwazvo nemari), asi ini ndisinganyatsozivi kuti ndingaitei kuti ndikunde.
Ndinowanzokurumidzira pamutambo kana ndikabuda panzvimbo yakanaka nokuti ndinoda kuvhara mune zvandinowana. Ndinofunga kuti ndiri kurasikirwa nekunaka kwekukosha ( Theta ).
Semuenzaniso, ini ndine pfuma yecimbi neOcto 1000/1010 yakaiswa uye 1180/1190
kudana kupararira. Ndine nzvimbo iyi kwemavhiki mana, kuunganidza $ 3.20 chikwereti. Mutengo wezvino (uchishandisa midpoints) ndewe 1.65. Ikozvino purogiramu inenge inenge $ 1.55 (zvichienderana nehutano hwekutengeserana kwekutengeswa).
Zvisinei, zvose zvinoshevedza (6%) uye zvinoisa (10%) zvinogara kure OTM yakakwana kuti igutse nzvimbo yangu yekunyaradza . Inguva yakareba sei inofanira kubata nzvimbo yacho?
Reply
Rega ndimbotanga nekutsanangura mafiro angu wesimbi condor kukura.
1) Unosvika kwenguva yakareba sei chigaro ichi hachikwanisi
2) Mutengo wekutanga waunotora hauna basa
3) Ikozvino purogiramu haisi iwe iwe unonyanya kufunga
Hungu, ndinoziva kuti izvi zvinoratidzika zvingaita sevasingaoneki kune vatengesi vakawanda. Ndinonzwisisa kuti nei iwe uchidavira kuti purogiramu yemazuva ano ndiyo nhamba inokosha mukuongorora nzvimbo iyi. Zvisinei, apo purogiramu yemazuva ano inotaridzira chiito chako, inowanzoita kuti urege kuita zvisarudzo zvisarudzo.
Icho chinhu chinokosha kufunga, asi zvimwe zvikonzero zvinofanira kutaridzirwa kutanga.
Ndezvipi zvinhu zvinokosha zvechokwadi kana iwe uine imwe simbi yakagadzirwa? Mumuenzaniso wako, unogona kubva kuburikidza nekubhadhara premium (~ $ 1.65). Ndinokukurudzira kuti ufunge nezvemibvunzo iyi:
- Uri kunyatsova nekutora iyi iron iron here ikozvino, pamutengo uyu?
- Iko ngozi yemazuva ano uye ingakosha mubayiro (unoenderera mberi) yakakodzera mukati memunzvimbo yako yekunyaradza?
- Kana iwe usati wati uine iyi iron iron condor, iwe ungafunga kuzarura bhizimisi idzva pamutengo uyu nhasi?
Kana mhinduro yako kune ipi yeipi mibvunzo iyi ndeyekuti hongu, saka haisi nguva yakakodzera yekubuda.
Zvisinei, funga nezvekukura kwemarefu .
- Iko kukura kwechigaro chacho kuchiri kukodzera here, kana zvingave zviri nani kuderedza ukuru?
Zvichida haudi kuva neavo vakawanda vanopararira sezvawakaita paunotanga shanduro. Cherechedza: Iwe hausi kuzovhara chikamu chechinzvimbo chete kuti uvhare mune purofiti. Chikamu chekukurudzirwa kwaizove kuzarura nzvimbo iyo ikozvino yakakosha kukura nokuti mashizha Chikamu chinokosha chekuchenjerera kuchengetedza njodzi.
Enda nemibvunzo iyi mazuva ose. Pane imwe nguva, hauchazodi kuva nechinzvimbo. Iyi ndiyo nguva yekubuda. Iwe unonzwa zvakasimba sei pamusoro pekusava nehanya nekubata chigaro chinoreva kushatirwa kwako kuva paunopinda mukutora kwako kuti uende. Kana uchida kubuda, iwe unogona kubhadhara pedyo nekukumbira mutengo. Kana usina kunyanya kuzvidya mwoyo, iwe unogona kuva nemwoyo murefu uye unobvunza zvishoma pamusoro pepakati pebhadhiro / kubvunza kupararira .
Pane mitemo yakawanda inogona kuita kuti inakidze kubuda:
- Nguva shomanana isara zvisati zvasarudzwa. Vatengesi vazhinji havakwanisi kuva nehupfumi pasina nguva shomanana yakasara nekuda kwemigumisiro iyo isina kunaka yeGamma inogona kuve nehuwandu hwehupfumi.
- Mutengo wekodha muduku unoramba uripo. Iyo haibhadhara kubata pane 10-iron iron condor (pamuenzaniso wako) apo premium inoderera kusvika pasi yakaderera. Handigoni kutsanangura iyo nhamba yako, asi nokuda kwekutengeserana kwako, inogona kunzwa yakarurama yekubuda apo iyo premium (iyo yose yakawanda iron condor) inodarika kusvika ku $ 0.50 kusvika $ 0.60.
- Wakawana imwe nzvimbo iyo iwe unofarira kuva nayo, uye hapana nzvimbo mune imwe nzvimbo yako yepodfolio.
Sezvo mwedzi ichipfuura, uye iwe uchiwana ruzivo nehutano hwekufunga, iwe unovaka pfungwa yakanaka yekuti zviitiko zvinobatsira zvinobata, izvo zvinoderedza hukuru, uye izvo zvinofanira kubuda. Paunenge uine urongwa hwokushanda , une musoro mukuru unotanga kugadzirisa dambudziko iri.
ZVINOKOSHA
Dzimwe nguva simbi inoridzika inoshandiswa kushanda zvakakwana; iyo yawakatora nguva refu, iwe unowedzera kuwana. Asi izvozvo zvinoitika PASI pasi pemamiriro akanaka.
Chikonzero chega chaunofunga kuti uri "kurasikirwa nenguva yakakosha" nguva yokuti iwe hauna pfuma yehuroni panguva dzisina kukwana-uye iyo ndiyo yakaoma (ngozi) kuunganidza nguva iyo yekuora.
Zvakakosha kuti iwe uzive kuti "kubata nguva refu" kuchava kusarasikirwa kusarudzo mune zvakawanda (asi kwete zvose) zviitiko.
Unoyeuka here kuti panguva dzekushaya nguva yakawanda mukati me 2008/2009 debacle, misika yaive yakaoma zvokuti yaive yakawandisa 5% yaifamba zuva rimwe nerimwe? Unogona kunge wakasununguka nemasarudzo ako kuva 6% OTM kana mukati mazuva maviri anotevera vangangodaro vaine 1% OTM chete. Unofunga kuti kubata kwenguva refu kwakamirira mari nyore here?
Paunobata, iwe unowedzera nguva yekuora - asi iyo inouya nehuwandu hwekurasikirwa. Kubuda kwapakutanga kunogona kunzwa kusina kunaka apo mushamba hauiti chinhu. Kana iwe uchida kubhadhara kuti izvo zvisiri kusagadzikana zvichaenderera mberi, zvino chokwadi, iwe unogona kuchengeta kwenguva yakareba. Asi zvimwe zvikwereti hazvibvumirwi. Kana iwe uchitsvaga purogiramu yakawanda kubva mune zvekutengeserana, iwe uchaita mari yakawedzerwa kwekanguva. Asi pane imwe nguva, iwe uchawana huchenjeri hwekusava nemakaro.
Dzokera kune dambudziko guru: Nokunyaradza kwangu, $ 1.65 yakawandisa kubhadhara kuti ibve panzvimbo yakanaka. Ndinoda kubhadhara mari shoma iyo $ 1.65. Handizivi zvakadini. Zuva rimwe zuva, kana vhiki kusvika kwevhiki sarudzo inobva pane nzvimbo yangu yekunyaradza uye mamiriro emisika.