Kupera KweChina Kunogona Kuita Sei Pasi Pose?

Nzira Yokudzivirira Nayo Nzvimbo Yenyu Yenyika Dambudziko Rinogona Kupera

China ine hupfumi hwekukurumidza huri kukura munyika uye huwandu huri kuwedzera huwandu hwe10% mumakore 30 apfuura, maererano neInternet Monetary Fund (IMF). Sekuguma kwegore ra2017, hupfumi hwenyika hwaive hwechipiri pasi rose kuburikidza nehuwandu hwezvakawanda zvezvigadzirwa mumunda (GDP) uye hukuru hwepasi pose kuburikidza nekutenga simba parity (PPP) iri pedyo neUnited States, inotungamirirwa zvikuru nehuwandu hwezvokutengesa huri kutumira kunze zvinhu zvakapararira zvakapoteredza pasi rose.

Vanotyairi Vanodhura Vanokonzera Kuderera

Nyanzvi dzakawanda dzezvematongerwo enyika dzinofunga kuti hupfumi hweChina huchazotanga kuderera sezvo huwandu hwehuwandu hwevanhu uye mibairo inokura kusvika pasi rose. Munguva yakapfuura, nyika yakabatsirwa nekukura kwakasimba muhuwandu hwevanhu vanoita basa pamwe chete nemisha mikuru yakaderera iyo yakaita kuti inoshandiswa. Dambudziko nderokuti izvi zvinoshanduka zvakaitika pamutengo webasa rayo rekushandira uye kushandiswa kwakada kushanda kuduku kudarika nguva sezvo teknolojia yakatsiva basa.

Pakupedzisira, vazhinji vezvematongerwo enyika vanotenda kuti nyika inofanira kutama kubva kubva kuzvigadzirwa kusvika kune dzimwe sangano semutungamiri wekutanga weGDP, sezvakangoita dzimwe nyika dzakabudirira dzakadai seUnited States uye avo vari muEurope vakaita munguva yakapfuura. Kuwedzera kuenzanisa kuenzanisa kwemazana masere kusvika masere muzana kunogona kusimudza basa, mubhadharo uye padziviriro kushandiswa nokukurumidza kudarika kukura kusina kukwana kudarika makumi masere kubva muzana. Muna 2015 uye muna 2016, hurumende yakanyatsotsvaga kuchinja uku kuenda kumasangano.

Zvinokonzerwa neWorld Economy

Kudengenyeka kweChina kwezvemari kunoshandura zvikamu zvakasiyana-siyana zvenyika nenzira dzakasiyana siyana zvichienderana nekuonekwa kwavo. Munyika dzinotarisana nezvinhu zvekutengeserana kwezvinhu, kufanana neAustralia , Brazil , Canada , neIndonesia , kuderera kunogona kuva nemigumisiro yakaipa pakuwedzera kwavo kweGDP sezvinodiwa zvishoma nezvishoma.

Izvo zvisingadzivisiki kuwira mumitengo yezvinhu zvinogona kubatsira, zvisinei, kune dzimwe nyika dzinodya zvinhu, zvakadai seUnited States nenyika dziri muEurope.

Chero nzira, kuderera kunoda humwe hugadziriro pane chikamu chehupfumi hwepasi pose. Nyika iyi ndiyo yakave iyo inonyanya kuwedzera mukuwedzera kwehupfumi pasi rose mumakore akawanda apfuura, maererano neImF, kugovera 31 muzana pamusiyano pakati pe2010 na2013. Izvi zviyero zvakakosha kudarika zvikamu masere kubva muzana zvipo mumakore ekuma1980, asi vamwe vezvematongerwo enyika vanopikisa kuti US neEurope zvinogona kutora zvizhinji zvekutuka sezvo hupfumi hwepasi rose huchiwedzera kubva muna 2008 matambudziko emari.

Positioning Mafodholiyo ekuderedza

Vashandi vemunyika yose vanogona kurongedza pane zvimwe zvinoreva kuderera kwehupfumi hweChina kuburikidza nokutora matanho ari nyore kuenzanirana nekudzokorora kwemahofisi avo kudhindisa kuchinja kwezvinhu izvi.

Zvimwe zvinogona kutora matanho ekutora zvinosanganisira:

• Kuderedza Zvinhu Zvokutengeserana . Izvozvo zvinokanganisa zvakanyanya zvekuderera kwehupfumi hweChina zvingaderedzwa kushandiswa kwezvinhu, uye sechikonzero chacho, mitengo yezvinhu zviduku pamusoro penguva refu. Zvisinei, zvakakosha kuziva kuti zvigadzirwa zvemazuva ano zvekutengeswa zvichibva pane zvinotarisirwa panzvimbo yezvokwadi, saka nguva yekuderera uku ichaenderana nekuona. Zvinogona zvakare kuti dzimwe nyika dzichatora slack, zvikurukuru iyo iri kuSouth-Asia.

• Kuwedzera Diversification . Vashandi vanogona kuderedza migumisiro yekuderera kune imwe nyika kuburikidza nekuvimbisa kuti nzvimbo yavo yepamusoro yakasiyana zvakasiyana munyika dzakasiyana-siyana , kusanganisira nyika dzakagadzirwa seSouth America nedzimwe nzvimbo dzakadai seEurope, uyewo mune dzimwe misika inotanga kubuda inogona kuve yakagadzirirwa kutora kuita basa.
• Hedge nePuts pamusoro peChinese ETFs . Vashandi vanogona kutenga nguva yakareba yekuisa sarudzo muChinese ETFs kana kuti zvishomanana zvekutengesa zvishandisi zvekuChina kuitira kuti vagadzire zvikwereti zvavo , purogiramu kubva pakurasika kwavo, uye kukanganisa chero nzvimbo dzakasara dzeChinese mune zveporofiti yavo. Zvinonyanya kukosha ndezvokuti izvi zvinoshanda zvinoda humwe huwandu hwemisika yekutengesa iyo inogona kuva yakaoma kubvisa, iyo inoita kuti ive yekupedzisira inofadza yezvi zvasarudzwa.

Vashandi vanofanirwawo kunge vachiziva kuti vanogona kuvharwa zvakasimba muChina.

Kufanana nedzimwe hupfumi, China inogona kuwana bhoom-bust cycle iyo inogona kukuvadza mararamiro ayo ehutano nehutano. Imisika yemugove yakave yakanyanya kunetseka muna 2016 uye muna 2017, asi mamwe mabheji emafuta anogona kuenzaniswa zvakanyanya kana hupfumi hupfumi uye vatongi havagoni kudzorera mukukura. Izvi ndezviitiko zvinokosha izvo vatengi vanofanirwa kuchengetedza maziso ekufamba kwenguva.