Makomborero Okutsvaga muBrazil

Itai mari muRudzi Rwenyika-Upfumi Hwakawanda

Mutsara weBrazil "É boa pra caramba" inogona kunge iri nzira yakanakisisa yekutsanangura chishamiso chemupfumi. Mukati mehupenyu hwevakawanda varo, nyika yakatarisana nehupfumi hwezvematongerwe enyika, yakaponesa hurumende yekutonga uye yakakura michero yakawanda yepamba (GDP) kubva pa $ 15 mabhiriyoni muna 1960 kusvika kune yechinomwe yezvepfumi inoputsa $ 2 trillion muna 2011. Izvo "zvinoshamisa "nemunhu wese.

Kubva muna 2003, Brazil yakagadzirisa hutano hwehukuru hwekuwanda, yakagadzira zvigaro zvayo zvekune imwe nyika uye yakaderedza chikwereti chayo kuburikidza nekutendeuka kuva chaiyo-mahedheni uye edzimba dzehupfumi. Zvadaro, muna 2008, chikwereti chenyika chapiwa chikwereti chekutsvaga mabhidhi nemahofisi maviri emakwereti. Mushure mokutengesa kwepamusoro , nyika yakadzokera pakukura kwakanaka muna 2010 uye yakaramba iine nzvimbo inofadza kune vashandi. Upfumi hwenyika hwakaoma muna 2016, zvisinei, pamwe chete nekutengesa mune zvezvinhu.

Chirongwa cheEconomism yeBrazil

Vashandi vemunyika yose vanoziva Brazil yakanakisisa nokuda kwehupfumi hwenyika. Mukuwedzera kune yakawanda masango emafuta ekumahombekombe, nyika yacho ndiyo yechipiri yakakura mucheri wenyika munyika uye inogadzira ethanol yakawanda kupfuura Asia neEurope pamwe chete. Izvi zvingabatsira kubhadhara zvishoma kudhura zvinhu zvakasiyana-siyana zvemabhizimisi uye zvinhu zvekutengesa pavanoshandira sechinhu chinokosha chekugovera zvinhu kunyika dzakadai seChina .

Nhamba dzehupfumi dzegore ra2015 dzaisanganisira:

• Gross Domestic Product (PPP): $ 3.6 Trillion
• GDP Real Growth Rate: -4%
• GDP per Capita: $ 8,802
• Uwandu hweHurumende: 11.5%
• Inflation Rate (CPI): 10.67

Kunobva: CIA World Factbook

Kuwedzera kwenyika yeGDP kuwedzera kwehuwandu uye huwandu hwekushaya kwehuwandu hunoita hunokosha huri muhutengo hwezvinhu zvegore rose ra2015 ne2016.

Nekuderera kweChina kwezvemari , pane zvinonetsa kuti zvigetsi zvingave zvichienderera mberi, izvo zvinoita kuti kuvharwa kwemabasa makuru. Kushamwaridzana kwepedyo nenyika nekutengesa kunoreva kuti hupfumi hwayo hukuru hunoenderana nematengo aya.

Kubatsira uye Njodzi dzekutsvaga muBrazil

Kufanana nemisika zhinji inotanga kubuda, kuisa mari kuBrazil kunosanganisira kubhadhara-pakati pengozi nemubairo. Kuwedzera kwekuwedzera kwenyika kunogona kubhadhara kudzoka kwakasimba kwekare, asi kusagadzikana kwezvematongerwe enyika uye kuzvidzora kwezvinhu-zvinoita kuti zvive nyore kupfuura mararamiro akabudirira. Kwemakore gumi akapfuura, MSCI Brazil Index yakanyatsogadzirisa S & P 500 neanenge 100%, kunyange zvazvo yakange isina kukwana nemazera akareba kusvika pakati pegore ra2013 - kusimbisa kuwedzerwa kwaro pamitengo yezvinhu.

Kubatsirwa kwekutsvaga muBrazil kunosanganisira:

• Commodity-Rich. Kukura kwekuBrazil kwakabatsirwa nechisimba chakasimba muChinese nemamwe mararamiro anobudirira kwezvinhu zvayo zvepanyika, kunyange zvazvo izvi zvikonzero zvakakonzera kukanganisa kukuru mumakore achangopfuura.
• Zvakananga Simba reEconomy. Mushure mokunge vatora matanho ekusimbiswa kwemari uye kusunungura hupfumi hwayo muma1990, Brazil yakava hutungamiri hwepamusoro-soro nehuwandu hwekambani yezvigadzirwa zvepamusoro uye chinangwa chemukati chinofanira kuderedza kushandiswa kwemari.

• Vakapfuma muRwanda Rwenyika. Brazil ndiyo yechipiri mukurumbira wei iron-ore munyika uye kumusha kune imwe yenyika huru kune imwe nzvimbo yakawanikwa mafuta mumakore makumi emakore. Izvi zvakabatsira kuti zvivakwe nheyo kubva iyo inogona kukura mukati maro mamiriro ehupfumi.

Njodzi dzekutsvaga mari muBrazil dzinosanganisira:

• Zvematongerwo Enyika Kudzikama. Brazil ine nyanzvi yezvematongerwo enyika yakawanda iyo inoramba iripo nanhasi. Muna 2015 uye muna 2016, vazhinji vakuru vakuru vakasungirirwa kuita mabasa ezvakaipa pamwe chete nemafuta ane hupfumi ehurumende Petrobras.
• Foreign Dependence. Brazil inowedzera kuvimba kune dzimwe nyika kunze kwenyika dzakagadzikana dzakadai seUnited States, asi iyo inonyanya kuvimba nekunze kwekubhadhara mari uye kukanganisa kwayo ikozvino. Izvo zvekugadzirisa kwezvinhu zvakatora mararamiro emutoro semugumisiro.

Nzira Dzakanakisisa dzekutsvaga muBrazil

Kune nzira dzakasiyana-siyana dzekutsvaga muBrazil, kubva kuUnited States- yakatengesa-kutengesa mari (ETFs) kune zvivimbiso zvakanyorwa pane imwe pesaidzo, MB & F Bovespa.

ETFs inomiririra nzira iri nyore yekuwana pachena pasina kunyunyuta pamusoro peAmerican Depository Receipts (ADRs) uye kuchengetedzwa kwedzimba.

Dzakakurumbira dzeBrazil EET dzinosanganisira:

• iShares MSCI Brazil Index ETF (NYSE: EWZ)
• iShares MSCI Brazil Small Cap Index ETF (NYSE: BRF)
• Global X Brazil Consumer ETF (NYSE: BRAQ)
• Global X Brazil Nhepfenyuro ETF (NYSE: BRAF)
• Global X Brazil Mid Cap ETF (NYSE: BRAZ)

Ma ADRs anozivikanwa zvikuru muBrazil anosanganisira:

• Petroleo Braziliero SA ADR (NYSE: PBR)
• Vale ADR (NYSE: VALE)
• Itau Unibanco Holding SA ADR (NYSE: ITUB)

Vashandi vemunyika yose vari kutsvaga kutarisana zvakananga vanogona kutenga zvigadziro zveBrazil zvakananga kuburikidza nevakawanda zvekutengeserana kwenzvimbo dzepasi pose nekutambira kune MB & F Bovespa. Vaya vanotarisa kumari inonyatsodikanwa kunobatanidza masangano emunharaunda kuti vaite sevanodzivirira pamabhengi ekubhadhara uye vanyoresa neBrazilian Central Bank nedzimwe sarudzo uye masangano emitero.

Nyaya yakakurumbira kupfuura yose yeBMB & F Bovespa ndeyeBovespa Index (IBovespa) iyo inofanirwa ne-80% yekutengesa ivhu uye 70% yemashandisirwo emari ekutengeswa kwemari.

Key Takeaway Points

• Brazil ndeimwe yenyika dzinokurumidza kukura uye nhengo dzezvinonzi nyika dzeBrIC, asi inewo njodzi dzakawanda dzakabatanidzwa mune zvematongerwe enyika uye kune dzimwe nyika kuvimba.
• Vaya vanotsvaka nzira iri nyore yekutsvaga muBrazil vanofanira kutarisa ETFs uye ADRs, neavo avo vachitsvaga kutarisana zvakananga vanogona kuzarura kune imwe nyika yekwereti yekwereti uye kutengeserana naB & F Bovespa.