Dambudziko reEopolitical is Evolving Concern for Investors
Muchikamu chino, tichatarisa mazano matatu ekutarisa dambudziko re geopolitical.
# 1 - Cherechedza Ndege Yokuchengetedza
Mhinduro yakawanda kune imwe yenharo huru yenyika ndeyekutiza kune ngozi. Semuenzaniso, zviyero zvinowanzosangana nekudengenyeka kukuru uye kushandurwa kukuru kune hurumende zvisungo uye zvinhu zvakachengeteka-haven zvinhu zvakadai segoridhe. IJapan yenyika neSwitzerland franc inonyatsozivikanwa yakachengeteka-haven currencies iyo inowanzotora mari munguva dzisina chokwadi. Kutaura zvazviri, Swiss franc yakanga ichinamatira euro ichiedza kuvhara kuonga kwayo panguva yematambudziko echikwereti.
Kunewo dzimwe nhamba dze "mari" dzinoenda kunechengeteka inogona kushandiswa, kusanganisira CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), mari shomanana yekushandura-inoshandiswa mari (ETFs), kana kuisa sarudzo. Kakawanda nguva, njodzi yekugadzikana kwezvematongerwe enyika inogona kuonekwa muVIX zvisarudzo uye mune ramangwana misika. Vashandi vanogonawo kutenga zvigadziriswa zvekugadzirira kuti vagadzire podfolio yavo uye vagadzirire dambudziko rekuderera, apo vatsoropodzi vangatenga zvishoma maonero eEFs kuti vashandise chero kudarika kupi zvako.
# 2 - Zvigadzirwa zveMitambo Zvichapera
Kusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika kunogona kuchinja zvakanyanya pamutengo wemari. Semuenzaniso, mutengo wemafuta wakasimuka kubva pachiyero chemadhora makumi matatu nemakumi matatu pamigero muna 2003 kusvika kune madhora zana nemakumi matatu pamurongo shure kwehondo yeIraq uye nhepfenyuro yezvimwe zviitiko zvekugadzirisa zvinotungamirira kusvika muna 2008. Chinhu chinokosha chokuyeuka munyaya idzi ndechokuti Iraq rakanga riri guru guru rekugadzira mafuta uye kupera kwacho kwaive kwakakonzerwa nekukwanisa kwekuvhiringidzika kwekutengeswa kwaizoita kuti kuwedzerwa mumutengo.
Dzimwe dzakawanda dzengozi dzezvematongerwo enyika hazvina zvakawanda zvinokonzerwa nemitengo yeiri. Semuenzaniso, dambudziko rechikwereti reEuropean rine chikwereti chakakosha zvikuru mari uye zvisungo kupfuura zvigadzirwa. Vatengesi vanofanira kutarisa kutengeserana kwezvinhu kune imwe nyika inopiwa iyo dambudziko iri kuchinja uye zvadaro kutsvaga kukanganisa kwekutsvaga ikoko pamisika yepasi rese. Mafuta asina mafuta anogadzira nyika muMiddle East anowanzove ari madhirairi makuru ekushandisa.
# 3 - Diversification Ndiko Kudzivirira Kwakanaka
Simba rakasimba kuderedza njodzi dzezvematongerwo enyika rinowanzowedzera kusimba. Nekuvapo muhutano, zvinhu, uye zvisungo, vatengesi vanogona kuderedza kusarura kunoshamisa mune imwe dzipi yepasiti yechikoro. Zvakakoshawo kuziva kuti zvikwereti zvinowanzogadziriswa pamusoro penguva yakareba inopiwa kuwedzera kwezvoupfumi uye hupfumi hwehupfumi, asi zvinhu zvinotengeswa zvakakwana pakugovera uye kudiwa. Izvi zvinoreva kuti zvikwereti zvingave zvakakodzera chikamu chikuru cheporoftifolio.
Kana zvichitaura nezvengozi dzezvematongerwe enyika mune imwe nyika imwe chete, imwe yenyika dzakasiyana-siyana dzinogona kuderedza kuwirirana pakati pezvinhu. Dambudziko rinosangana nematengesi eLatin America, somuenzaniso, zvichida haingabatsiri hutano hweIndia kune zvizhinji.
Kushandisa ETFs, vatengesi vanogona kuvaka iyi mukana wekusiyanisa muzvikwata zvavo zvepamusoro.
Key Takeaway Points
- Njodzi dzezvematongerwo enyika ingozi inoramba ichichinja kune vatengesi vemunyika dzakawanda uye dzakawanda zvezvipingamupinyi izvi zvinganyanya kunyanya muna 2016.
- Izvo zvinokonzera kukakavadzana kwezvematongerwe enyika pane mamwe mashizha emadhaka zvinosiyana zvichienderana nenyika dzinobatanidzwa uye inonzwisisika yengozi yenyika yose.
- Dhiversification ndiyo yakasimba yekudzivirira njodzi dzezvematongerwe enyika, sezvo kurasikirwa mune rimwe boka reassetsi rinenge risina kunyatsopindira nekunowanikwa kune rimwe.