A Tarisa Chinonyanya Kururamisa China Chaicho Chechi Economic Indicator
Mashoko akanaka ndeokuti kune huwandu hwehupfumi huri hunooma kuwedzeredza kana kuti hunochengetedza kuti vatengesi vemarudzi ose vanogona kuvimba nokuda kwekuongorora kwavo. Semuenzaniso, Baidu inotsigira iyo SME Index, makambani ane simba anorondedzera kushandiswa kwemagetsi, uye makambani ekufambisa kwezvitima angashuma pamusoro pekutengesa kwekutakura. Vashandi vanogonawo kutarisa maitiro ezvehupfumi mune zvezvematongerwo enyika uye kutengeserana kwenyika kuti vawane pfungwa yemasimba ehupfumi.
Muchikamu chino, tichatarisa chimwe chezvikwangwani zvepachivande - China yeCaixin PMI - uye nei ingave imwe yezviratidzo zvehupfumi zvakanyanya munyika.
Chii chinonzi PMI?
Iyo Purchasing Managers Index - kana PMI - inzira yakakurumbira yekuyera kubudirira kwehupfumi kuburikidza nekuongororwa kwebasa rega. Iyi nyanzvi inobvunza vashandi vebhizimisi mibvunzo pamusoro pemitemo mitsva, fekitari yakabuda, basa, nguva yekuendesa, uye zvinyorwa. Mhinduro dzemibvunzo iyi zvino dzinoremerwa uye kuverengwa kwezero kusvika ku100 kunotaridzwa, apo kuverenga chero kupi zvayo pasi pe 50.0 kunoratidza kuti hupfumi huri kutengesa uye zvakasiyana.
Vashandi vemunyika yose vanovimba nePPI sechiratidzo chinotungamirira zvehupfumi. Pashure pezvose, mhinduro dzemibvunzo iyi kazhinji isati yasvika chaiyo yakashandurwa kuchinja mumitemo mitsva kana basa. Zvinyorwa pamusoro apa 42.0 zvinowanzoreva kukura kwezvemupfumi pahuwandu hwakawanda hwezvigadzirwa zvemuzinda (GDP), apo kuverenga pasi apa 42.0 kunogona kufanotaura kupesana kwezvematongerwo enyika pane iyoyo.
Zvimwe zvikamu zvekuongorora kweMDC zvinogonawo kufadza kumapoka akasiyana evanhu.
Kune vazhinji vakasiyana-siyana vanopa mazita eDPI, asi avo vaviri vanozivikanwa zvikuru Markit uye, muUnited States, Institute of Supply Management - kana ISM. Kune varairi vepasi rose , Markit ndiye anonyanya kupa mupi wemhando iyi yedhipatimendi munyika dzakasiyana-siyana.
China's Two PMIs
Kune mibvunzo miviri yakasiyana yeMDCI kuverengerwa kubva kuChina, kusanganisira hurumende yehurumende PMI uye kuverengwa kwegazvi kubva kumakambani akafanana naMarkit. Chimwe nechimwe chezviongorori dzinobva kune rumwe ruzivo ruzivo rwakasiyana, izvo zvinoreva kuti hazvienzani zvakananga kune mumwe nemumwe. Semuenzaniso, nhamba yaMarkit ine hurukuro yakawanda kumabhizimisi maduku -kusvika kumazinga mashoma, nepo huwandu hwehurumende huri huse-hune huwandu hwose uye hunosanganisira mabhizimusi makuru.
The Markit PMI, inozivikanwa seC Caixin China PMI, ndiyo inonyanya kutaridzirwa yega PMI chiratidzo. Sezvo mabhizimisi mashomanana akaongororwa asingawanzofarirwi nehurumende, kuverenga kunogona kunge kuri kuwedzera kwehupfumi mune dzimwe nzira. The Caixin PMI iriwo yakakwana zvachose nehurumende yeChina, izvo zvinoreva kuti hapana kukwanisa kuti nhamba idzi dzive dzakasvibiswa sezvingave dziri mumatare ehurumende.
Kufunga Kukosha
Iyo Caixin PMI inogona kuva yakavimbika kudarika kuverengwa kwemaMDC PMI muChina, asi varimi vanofanira kuramba vachishandisa chiratidzo pamwe chete nevamwe. Kunyangwe mumakwenzi akabudirira seUnited States, zvingava kukanganisa kuvimba chete nechiyero chimwe chehupfumi paunenge uchiita chisarudzo chekutsvaga mari. Kushambadzira kunogona kukonzera huwandu huwandu hwehupfumi hweChina - kuita kuti kuverenga kwePII kuve kwakakosha - asi vatengi vanofanira kutarisa munzvimbo dzose dzehupfumi.
Zvakakosha kuziva kuti Caixin PMI inowanzosiyana mune dzimwe nzvimbo dzegore. Semuenzaniso, chiratidzo chacho chinowedzera kuwira shure kwegore reChinese Itsva apo mabhizimisi akavharwa. Vashandi vemunyika yose vangave vasingadi kugovera uwandu hwakawanda kusvikira panguva ino yegore uye pane kuvimba pane dzimwe zviratidzo zvezvemari zvingangodaro dzichiwedzera.
Zvimwe, vanogona kumirira kusvikira mwedzi unotevera apo data ingave yakavimbika pakuudza nyaya yacho.
Key Takeaway Points
- Nhepfenyuro yeChinese yezvemari yehupfumi inowanzosavimbika, maererano nevakawanda vezvematongerwo enyika, izvo zvinoita kuti mapeji ega ega anokosha zvikuru
- Iko kutengesa maneja mazita - kana PMI - ndiyo inotungamirira yehupfumi inoshandiswa nevarimi kuti vasarudze kuti hupfumi hunogona kutungamirirwa kupi.
- China inoudza PMI mukuru wekuverenga mwedzi wega wega, asi Markit anopa kuverenga ari oga - uye avo vaviri vanowanzoreva nyaya yakasiyana.
- Vashandi vanofanira kuva nechokwadi chekubatanidza kuverengera kwe PMI pamwe nekumwe kuongorora kuti vawane mufananidzo wakajeka wekuti upfumi huri kupi.