Tsvaga kuti Kuvimba Kwevatengi Kunobatsira Sei Kuvimba Kwevatengi?
Economists vakagadzirisa dambudziko iri kuburikidza nekuvandudza izvo zvino zvinozivikanwa seVateri Confidence Index ("CCI").
Nokubvunzurudza nhamba inotaridzika yevanhu vanogara mune imwe nyika yakapiwa, iyi inotsvaga kuenzanisa chiyero chekutarisira kuti vatengi vanofunga pamusoro pehuwandu hwehupfumi hwenyika , pamwe chete nemamiriro avo ezvoupfumi .
Vashandi vemunyika yose vanoteerera zvakanyanya izvi kuongorori sezvo vanogona kushanda semuenzaniso mukuru wekutungamirira kwehupfumi hwose. Apo vashandi vane chivimbo mune ramangwana ravo, vanowanzoshandisa mari nekutsvaga hupfumi hwehupfumi huri nani. Kana vashandi vasingatyi, vanowanzochengetedza pane kupedza uye pamwe zvichiita kuti hupfumi huwedzere.
Muchikamu chino, tichacherechedza kuti kushambadzira kwevashandi kunoshanda sei uye kuti vashandi vangashandisa sei ruzivo urwu kuti vaite zvisarudzo zviri nani.
Kubvunzurudzwa Kwevatengi Kuongororwa Basa
Kune marudzi akawanda akasiyana-siyana ekugadzirisa kuvimbika kwevatengi kushandiswa munyika yose, asi vazhinji vavo vanoita nenzira yakafanana.
Kubva pane imwe nguva-yakagadziriswa saromuenzaniso, inongorori inongobvunza mibvunzo yemibvunzo yakagadzirirwa kutarisa maonero ehutengi uye emangwana kutora maonero avo ehupfumi nemamiriro emari.
Mibvunzo inowanzovhara zvinhu zvakadai se:
- Current business conditions.
- Bhizimisi mamiriro ekuwedzera kwemwedzi 6-12.
- Current job conditions.
- Maitiro emamiriro ezvinhu pamusoro pemwedzi 6-12 inotevera.
- Zvose mari yemhuri pamwedzi inotevera 6-12.
Vatori vechikamu vanowanzobvunzwa kuti vapindure mubvunzo wega wega se "positive", "zvisina kunaka" kana "kusatsigira", iyo inonzi "1", "-1" uye "0", pamwe chete, uye yakawedzerwa kusvika kuverengerwa " . Iyi kukosha inozoenzaniswa nechero yekutanga "index value", iyo inowanzotanga kukosha kwekutanga apo tsvakurudzo yakatanga kutanga - kazhinji makumi emakore akapfuura. Pakupedzisira, nhamba idzi dzinotaridzika dzakaenzana kubudisa huwandu hunokosha hunozivikanwa.
Chinangwa chevatengi kuvimbiswa kwekutsvaga ndechekufanotaura mberi kwekushandisa mari yevatengi nemaitiro ekuti kune humwe hutariro hunoita kuti uwedzere kutenga uye kusimba kwehupfumi hwehupfumi.
Kuvimba Kwevatengi Munyika Yose
Kune zviyero zvakasiyana zvakasiyana zvekutengeswa kwevatengi vanoshandiswa munyika yose. Makambani akadai neNeilsen anowanzoongorora vashandi munyika dzinopfuura 50 dzakasiyana, asi nyika dzakawanda dzine sangano rakasiyana-siyana rinoverenga mazita avo.
Mamwe emakwikwi anozivikanwa zvikuru anosanganisira:
- Kanada: Conference Board yeCanada Index yeKutenda Kwevatengi
- India: BluFin Consumer Confidence Index
- Israel: Globe's Israeli Consumer Confidence Index
- Spain: Instituto de Credito Oficial Spanish Consumer Confidence Index
- Britain: GfK's Consumer Confidence Barometer
- Global: Nielsen Global Online Consumer Survey
Achishandisa Consumer Confidence Data
Dhiyabhorosi yedhimbisi yedhiyabhorosi chiratidzo chinonyanya kukosha kune varairidzi vakapa ruzivo rwekufungidzira mararamiro ekushandisa-vatengi. Izvi zvinoshandisa mitemo zvinogona kuva zvirevo zvinobatsira zvezvinhu zvose zvichibva mumiti yakakura yemiti ("GDP") kukura kusvika kubudirira kwehutano hwemari mukurwisa kusakosha kwebasa uye kutengesa kwezvinhu .
Heano maitiro mashomanana anoshandiswa:
- Chiratidzo Chinotungamirira: Nhamba dzekuvimba dzevatengi dzinogona kushandiswa sechirongwa chinotungamirira chekuwedzera kwezvemari, kusanganisirazve kuwedzera kukura muGDP.
- Kubudirira Kwemitemo: Kuvimba kwevatengi kunogona kushandiswa kuyanisa kubudirira kwemari, mari kana zvimwe zvinoshandiswa nevatongi kuti vawedzere kukura.
- Retail Sector: Kuvimba kwevatengi kunonyanya kukosha mune zvekutengesa uye zvigadzirwa zvemabhizimisi kubva kumitengo yavo yakanyatsobatana nemashandisirwo emari.