Mumakore iwayo, zvizhinji zvezvinhu zvose zvakanyora rekodhi zvakanyanya sezvo US dollar yakanga isina simba uye pasi rose chibereko chaive chichiendesa pasi.
A Bull Market mumitengo
Dambudziko rezvemari munyika yose muna 2008 rakakonzera kuwanda kwekutsvaga kutengesa misika kumapoka ose easset uye zvinhu zvaisina kudaro. Zvisinei, nzvimbo yekugara yebhangi mazano ehuwandu hwekutengesa uye huwandu hwemari dzenguva pfupi dzekutora zvitsva zvakatevera gwaro rekubhadhara mari kwegore ra2008 dzainyatsotsigira zvigadzirwa zvemari. Kuongororwa kwepamusoro kune imwe nzvimbo bhanhire rekushandisa iro rinobvumira simba rekutsvaga kutenga masimba (uye dzimwe nguva makambani) nyaya dzechikwereti. QE inobvumira mabhizimusi makuru kuti ave nemafambisirwo emadhora uye nguva refu kwenguva refu kana vachidhinda mari kutenga mabhandi. Uyezve, apo hurumende idzi dzinoderedza zviduku zvenguva shomanana, inokonzera kushungurudzika kwepabonde nekukurudzira kubhadhara nekushandisa nekudzivisa kuchengeta.
Zvinhu zvekutengeserana zvinowanzoenderana nekudzvinyirira kweplation, uye ndicho chikonzero vakaonga zvikuru kubva muna 2008-2011 semabhanki makuru ari kutangira warpath inokurudzira kurwisana nemafungiro ekudzivirira uye ekuderedza mari mune zvekumba pamwe nehupfumi hwepasi rese.
Bull Market Inosvika pakuguma
Imari yeUnited States ndiyo yakakura zvikuru uye iyo yakatanga kujekesa kuti njodzi dzinotevera dambudziko re2008 rainge rava kuderera, bhenji rekutanga rakatanga kutumira zviratidzo kuti QE ingaguma uye purogiramu yemazuva emitengo inenge isingagari pakusingaperi nokusingaperi.
Sezvo hupfumi muUnited States hwakagadziriswa mushure mekutengeswa kwekutengeswa kwekutengeswa kwema 2011 kwakatanga kuwira Muchikamu chezviyo, kusanaya kwegore ra2012 kwakabvumira nzombe kuti inamatire kune rimwe gore kubva kubva muna 2013-2015 mutengo wemari, sechikwata chechikwata chakaitwa nechepasi chakakwirira uye nechepasi. Mukupera kwegore ra2015 uye kutanga kwegore ra2012, zvinhu zvakawanda zvakagadzirwa zvakawira kune dzakawanda. Mafuta asina mafuta akatengeswa yose kusvika ku $ 26.05 pamuranda muMid-February 2016, kupfuura 82 muzana pasi pegore ra2008. Ndarama yakawira ku $ 1046 kunopera 2015, inopfuura 45 muzana kubva pakakwirira kwayo ya2011. Mhangura yakatengesa kusvika pasi pe $ 1.94 kutanga kwegore ra2016, 58 muzana pasi pegore ra2011. Kune mizhinji mimwe mienzaniso. Zvokurima zvezvirimwa, zvigadzirwa, zvigetsi zvemaji, uye zvicherwa zvose zvakawira kune zvakaderera mumakore ekutanga kwe 2016.
Zvigadzirwa zvinhu zvinokosha munyika iyo inonyanya kufunga nezvekufamba mune mari uye mararamiro akasarudzwa emari. Dhora ndiyo inoshandiswa mari yepasi, uye ndiyo inofanirwa kutengesa mari yezvinhu zvakasikwa. Apo dhora rinosimbisa zvigadzirwa zvinowanzofambisa pasi uye kana zvisingakwanisi kurwisana nedzimwe mari, zvigadzirwa zvepurasitiki zvinowanzokoshesa. Kana iri kuuya kune chido chekufarira, huwandu hwehuwandu hunowedzera mari yekutakura zvigadzirwa zvezvinhu zvakasvibiswa asi chidimbu chechikwereti chinodaro chinongopesana.
Apo yakava pachena kuti bhanhire rekuAmerica rinopedzisa QE muna 2014 uye rakatanga kuwedzera chido chekuda muna 2015, dhora rakabvunzwa pane mamwe mari, uye mutengo wemari wakaderedzwa pasi. Apo Fed yakazotevera mitezo yekutanga kokutanga mumakore mapfumbamwe munaDisemba 2015 uye yakavimbisa 3-4 kuwedzerwa kwakawanda zvakadaro muna 2016, zvinhu zvakawanda zvekutengeserana zvakatamirwa kumarudzi akawanda ekupera kwegore ra 2015 uye pakutanga kwe 2016.
Zvimwe Zvinhu Pasi Pakutanga kwa2016
2016 yakatanga nenzira yakaipa; misika yekutengeserana yeChinese yakaderera, uye dzimwe dzakawanda dzakaenzana dzakapoteredza nyika dzakazotevera mune imwe nyaya yeAsia inoparadzirwa. China ndicho chidimbu chekuda kwemazana ezvakakosha zvezvinhu zvakadai sekuti nyika ine huwandu hwehuwandu hwevanhu uye kukura mumakumi emakore achangopfuura yaita kuti maChinese awedzere kutengesa zvinhu zvakagadzirwa.
Sezvo mutengesi wekuChina wekutsvaga wakaderera pasi, wakapa bhanhire rekuAmerica chikonzero chekumbomira pakasvika purogiramu yavo yekuwedzera mari yekutora. Dhora racho rakadzoka richibva kumusoro kwezana zana pakatarisana nekodzero yemadhora uye yemari yakasvibiswa yakaderera. Musi waFebruary 11, apo S & P500 index yakatumira 11.5 muzana kurasikirwa pagore, Baltic Dry index yakawira nguva yose ye 290. The Baltic Dry Index inoderedza kutumira mabasa emakumbo akaoma pasi pose. Basa iri muzvinhu zvekutengeserana zvinosvika pakamira. Zvisinei, February 11 akaisa mararamiro ezvimwe zvinhu, uye misika yakatanga kuvandudzwa mumavhiki nemwedzi yakatevera.
Zvichakadaro, US Fed yakaramba ichitsvaga uye haina kuwedzera mitengo. Pakutanga, chaiva chiitiko chekupararira kweAsia kwakamisa Fed kubva kune rimwe chido chekuwedzera. Sezvo June akauya, referendum muUnited Kingdom kuti ibve kuEuropean Union yakatyisidzira kuwedzera kushaya mutsa mumisika yepasi. Nepo huchenjeri huripo ndeyekuti UK ichagara muEurope, mhirizhonga yeJune 24 yakashamiswa mumisika apo ivo vakabvumira kuenda. Brexit akapa Fed chimwe chikonzero chekugara pane imwe nzvimbo. Nguva yose iyi, mutengo wezvinhu zvakasimuka negoridhe inotungamirira nzira. Iko tsvuku yakatsvaga kusvika kune $ 1384 mushure mevhoti ye Brexit uye sirivha yakakwira kupfuura $ 21. Zvose zvakagadzirwa nemidziyo yakakodzwa mumwedzi inotevera kutanga kweJuly kumusoro asi zvimwe zvinhu zvakaitwa mumutambo unoshamisa.
Mafuta akasvibiswa akasimuka kubva kumusoro kwe $ 26 pamigomo munaFebruary kusvika kudarika $ 50 kutanga kwaOctober. Mutengo wehuga wakawedzera kubva pa10.13 masentimita pamapirundi munaAugust 2015 kusvika pamasendi makumi maviri nemana makumi maviri namashanu musi waSeptember 29, 2016. Mitengo yesimbi yesimbi, zinc, tin, nickel, uye inotungamirira zvose zvakapiwa zvikamu zviviri zvakagadzirwa muna 2016. Muchida Bhuku reBaltic Dry Index rakasimuka kubva ku 290 munaFebruary kusvikira muna 915 pakutanga kwegore raOctober, kuwanikwa kwechikamu chinopfuura 215 muzana.
Nguva yose iyi, bhandi repakati reUnited States harina kuwedzera chibereko chekuda kupa rubatsiro rwezvinhu zvakawanda zvitsva zvezvinhu.
Mutsva Matsva Matsva Kubva kuMutengo Wechipikirwa
Zvinoratidzika kuti mutengo wezvinhu zvakasvibira wakasvika pane zvakakosha pasi zvichienderana nekutengesa mutengo wakatevera zviyo. Masoko haawanzofambi nenzira yakarurama, uye apo zvinhu zvinenge zvichida zvakanyanyisa zvezvinhu zvose, hazvisi izvo. Zvisinei, iyo yakasvibiswa yakashambasi yeklasi yakapa zvinyorwa zvinoshamisa muna 2016, zvichikwira nepamusoro pe10% mumakamuri matatu ekutanga egore.
Kunyange zvazvo US Federal Reserve inogona kuwedzera mari yeFid Funds pamusangano weDisemba kana kutanga kwa2017, iyo inhamba ichakwira chete kune 50-75 nheyo dzepamusoro dzichiri nhepfenyuro yepamusoro. Munguva iyi, chido chekuda muEurope neJapan chinogara mundima isina kunaka. Nhamba-shomanana inotambira mberi inoramba ichipa rubatsiro rwezvinhu sezvinodiwa nemusika muna 2017. Uyezve, mutengesi webhebhu kubva muna 2012-kutanga kwegore ra2016 yakaita kuti vazhinji vanodhura vatengi vabve pamusika, uye izvo zvinoreva kuti michina iri mumaoko emaoko akasimba uye akanaka -kudzivirirwa masangano. Panguva imwecheteyo, kune uchapupu hwokuti kushandiswa kwezvinhu zvakakura zvezvinhu zvakasvibirira zvave zvichinyura panguva apo zvabuda zvishoma nezvishoma, uye kuda kunotora. Uyezve, maitiro evanhu anoenderera mberi anotsigira pfungwa yokuti vanhu vakawanda munyika vachada zvimwe zvinhu mumakore anotevera. Inyanzvi yezvemupfumi yehupfumi uye inonzwisisika inotaridzika sekuda kwekutsvaga, zvinyorwa zvinowira, uye mitengo inomuka.
Chimwe nechimwe chezvinhu zvinogadzirwa uye zvinoda zvimiro . Pane zvinhu zvakawanda zvinowanzoitika kana zvasvika pamugwagwa wekusagadzikana kwezvinhu zvakasvibirira zvekutengesa kusanganisira mamiriro okunze, hupfumi hwepasi pose uye zvematongerwe enyika uye mamwe matambudziko anogadzirisa uye asinganzwisisiki. Zvisinei, sezvakanaka zvezvinhu zvekirasi inoonekwa seve yakagadzira chikamu chakakura pakupera kwegore ra 2015 uye kutanga kwegore ra 2016 uye zvino nzira yekusagadzikana ichave yakakwirira mumwedzi nemakore anotevera.
Zvinhu zvakakura zvinodhura zvinhu ndezvimwe zvezvinhu zvakashata zvinoshandiswa. Kakawanda, mutengo wekutsvaga unopfuura kupesana kwezvikwata, kusungirwa, mari uye mamwe makirasi emari, saka; iyo nzira yakakwirira ichava chero chinhu kunze kwekufamba zvakanaka. 2016 inofanirwa kurangarirwa segore umo mutengesi wemari, sekaiti yepasitadhi, yakashandurwa yakakwirira uye iyo inofanira kuunza vamwe vatengi uye vatengesi kudzokera kumisika yavakasiyiwa mumakore achangopfuura.
Dzimwe Zano Rokuswedera Pedyo ZveMari Makambani
Munhu wose anoda mari yekombe nekuda kwepfungwa, zviri nyore kwazvo kuenda kwenguva refu pane kutora nzvimbo pfupi. Kuwedzera kubatanidzwa kwevanotsvakurudza uye vatengesi vachashanda kuwedzera kuve uye dzimwe nguva, kusagadzikana munyika yenyika. Imwe yemitemo yegoridhe yekutsvaga mari mune zvekutengesa ndeyokuti kutenga kutengesa mutengo panguva yekambani yemakambani inotenderera kunounza mhinduro dzakanaka. Munharaunda yakawanda yeasset, nguva dzose zviri nani kuenda kumisika nekuchenjerera. Kutenga apo matengo ari kururamisa pasi pfupi kwenguva pfupi inowedzera mikana yekubatsiridza sezvo chiito chekutanga chinozopedzisira chakatora zvinhu zvakakwirira. Kana zvasvika kune ETF uye ETN michina, iyo isina kushandiswa motokari yakakodzera yekutengeserana kwemazuva mashoma. Zvisinei, munhu anofanirwa kuswedera pedyo nemotokari dzakakosha zvakakodzera. Kunyange zvazvo iri kuedza kutenga ETFs kana kuti ETNs dzakaputika uye dzinovabata, zvigadzirwa izvi zvinobudirira zvikuru kana zvichishandiswa kwenguva pfupi. Kutengesa kana kuisa mari mumiti yakakosha kunokodzera nzvimbo dzemazuva ezuva uye hazvifaniri kugara mumaportfoliyo kwenguva yakareba kupfuura mazuva mashoma. Chimwe chezvinhu zvakakosha zvakakosha zvekutengesa zvinhu zvakanaka kana mutengi ndiye kukwanisa kushandisa chirango nekunamatira pane chirongwa chekutengesa. Paunofunga nezvekutsvaga mari, ita chirongwa chinosanganisira ngozi yakawanda yaunoda kutora uye kuve nechokwadi kuti mubairo waunotsvaka wakaenzana kana wakakwirira kudarika iyo ngozi. Kana ukangotora nzvimbo, tambira pane zvauri kuronga. Nguva dzose yeuka, usafunganya nezvekushayikirwa mukana, kutora puroferi nokukurumidza, kana kutora kurasikirwa. Munyika yakazara yezvinhu zvinotengeswa mari, pane nguva imwe nguva imwe nguva yakakwana pakona.