Mitemo yakawanda inogona kuchinja
Kana iwe ukatarisa chati yeRCB index, inosanganisira boka rakasiyana-siyana rezvinhu zvekutengesa zvinopesana ne chati ye dollar index.
Izvi zvinomiririra simba kana kushaya simba kwemari yeUnited States kupikisa dzimwe shanduro dzenyika dzenyika. Sezvo mutemo wehurumende, iwe uchaona kuti zvigadzirwa zvinowanzoenderera mberi apo dollar inofamba yakakwirira, uye zvakasiyana zvinoitika sezvo dollar inofamba ichidzika. Kuwirirana hakusi kwakakwana, asi pane kazhinji kacho kuwirirana kwepakati kwemazuva.
Sei Chikonzero Chaicho?
Chikonzero chikuru chekukosha kwedhora rinokonzera zvinhu zvekutengeswa ndeyekuti dhora ndiyo inofanirwa kutengesa mari yezvinhu zvakawanda. Mari yeU.S. is reserve currency yenyika. Dhora racho rinowedzera kuva rakanyatsogadzikana kune dzimwe nyika shanduko, saka mamwe mamwe marudzi ane pesa sekuchengetwa kwemari.
Apo zvinouya kumabhizimisi emarudzi ose kwezvinhu zvakagadzirwa, dhora ndiyo inoshandiswa pakugadzirisa muzhinji kana isingawani maitiro. Kana kukosha kwedhora kunodonha, zvinodhura mari yakawanda kutenga zvigadzirwa. Panguva imwe chete, inodhura mari shomanana yemamwe mari apo dhora iri kufamba zvishoma.
Zvitengesheni Zviri Pfuma Yose
Chimwe chikonzero chekutungamirirwa kwedhora ndechekuti zvinhu zviripo pasi rose. Vanoshambadzira munyika yose. Vatengi vokune imwe nyika vanotenga zvigadzirwa zveUnited States zvakadai sezviyo, soya, gorosi, uye mafuta ane madhora. Apo kukosha kwedhora kunodonha, vane mari yakawanda yekutenga nokuti inoda kudarika mari yavo kuti vatenge dhora rimwe nerimwe.
Classic economics inodzidzisa kuti kudiwa kunowedzera kuwedzera apo mitengo inodonha.
Iko Dollar Ndiyo Chinangwa Nokuti Yakasimba
Zvinhu zvekutengesa hazvitengeserwi muvharo. Zvigadzirwa zvekutengesa kazhinji zvinowanzoitika kune imwe nzvimbo. Ruzhinji rwezviyo uye kuwanda kwesoya munyika inobva kunyika dzakasimwa dzeUnited States Inyika yakawanda-yevhu yeChile inobereka hukuru hwemhangura pasi pano, uye hafu yemafuta emunyika yose iri kuMiddle East. Vaparidzi vakakurumbira vehocoa nyemba dziri muAfrica muAvory Coast neGhana.
Sezvaunogona kuona, kukohwa kwezvinhu zvinoenderana nemamiriro ekunze uye geology mune dzimwe nzvimbo. Asi kushandiswa kwezvinhu izvi zvakakosha zvinhu zvinowanikwa munyika yose.
Izvo zvakawanda zvezvinhu izvi zvinoshandisa dhora semutengo wekutengeserana kwenyika yose nokuti US ndiyo inonyanya kusimba uye yakawanda mune hupfumi munyika. Apo dhora rinosimbisa, rinoreva kuti zvinhu zvinodhura zvakanyanya mune dzimwe, nondollar mari. Izvi zvinowanzova nechakaipa pane zvinodiwa. Zvimwe, apo dhora rinoderera, mitengo yemitengo mune dzimwe mari inoderera pasi, iyo inowedzera kudiwa.
Migumisiro yezvinhu
Chimwe nechimwe chezvinhu zvine maitiro e-idiosyncratic, asi kukosha kwedhora kwave kwakagadzirisa zvakakwana pamatengo ezvinhu zvose.
Apo dhora rakatanga kusimbisa munaMeyi 2014, dhora reAmerica reAmerica rakatengeserana kusvika 78.93 pamushandirapamwe wemwedzi unotevera. Pakutanga kwaMarch 2016, iyo dhora rakatengeserana nepamusoro pezinga 97; dhora racho raifarira nevanoda kusvika 23 muzana mumakore anopfuura maviri.
Zvinhu zvakawanda zvekutengeswa kwematengo zvakaderera zvakaderera pamusoro penguva iyi-muenzaniso wakakwana wehukama hwepakati nepakati pekukosha kwedhora uye mutengo wemari. Nhoroondo yehukama inogona kushanda semutungamiri nokuti nhoroondo inowanzodzokorora, asi pane dzimwe nguva apo maitiro makuru anoitika kuitira kuti zvigone kuti zvinhu zvinodhura uye dhora rinogona nguva nenguva kufamba nenzira imwechete.
Inochinja Mumhepo Here?
Citi Research yakarondedzera munaMarch 2017 kuti kuwirirana pakati pebhora nemari yemitengo kwakava zvisinganyanyi kukosha mushure mekunge dhora raitengeserana anenge 97 gore rapfuura.
Kunyanya, zvigadzirwa zvaive zvakasimba muhafu yekupedzisira ye 2016 kunyange sezvo mari yeUnited States yakawana kune dzimwe mari. Icho chaive chinhu chakasiyana zvikuru mukugadzirisa kwemakore gumi. Citi yakaratidza kuti ino mamiriro ezvinhu angagare kwekanguva.
Kuongorora Dhora
Imwe yenzira dzakanakisisa dzekurwisana nekushandura uye kuchengeta ziso rakadzama pamusoro pekukosha kwedhora uye kuwirirana kwayo nezvimwe zvinhu ndezvekutarisa zvinyorwa zvemari zveDollar Index. Nhamba iyi inoshandiswa pane ICE Futures Exchange. Iyi yeramende yesungano ndeyoruzhinji inotendesa dhora kune boka reimwe mari huru pasi rose, kusanganisira euro, yen, uye British pound. Mutengo weyo index inoshandiswa seimwe sangano rimwe ramangwana, uye rinotama uye richidzika panguva dzekutengesa maawa.
Zvinhu zvekutengesa hazvina kunyanya kukosha kune imwe nhengo duku pasi peDollar Index, asi pane kazhinji kacho kuva neukama hwakasimba pakati penguva refu. Zvimwe zvezvinhu zvakagadziriswa uye zvinodiwa zvinoshandiswa, saka vanofamba nenzira imwe neimwe pane dzimwe nguva pasinei nekutungamirirwa kwemari yeUnited States. Dambudziko rekuvhiringidza rinotora chikamu, kunyanya muzviitiko zvezvino. Ramba uine ziso pamamiriro acho ezvinhu uye usatora matanho apfuura asingabvumirwi.