Kukura Kwemari uye Kuchinja Kwaro kuUnited States Pfuma
Ngatitangei kutarisa kuMari weUnited States kutanga, nokuti iyo ndiyo nzvimbo yekambani yezvisungo iyo inonyanya kushandiswa nehupfumi. Nzira yakanakisisa yekunzwisisa ukama huri pakati pehupfumi nezvisungo ndeyekufunga nezvehuwandu hwehuwandu sekuda mari.
Apo hupfumi hwakasimba, kuda kwemari kwakakwirira, sezvo basa rakakura rinoreva kuti kune zvakawanda zvekudiwa kwemari yekubhadhara mapurojekiti. Kudiwa kwepamusoro, zvakare, kunotungamirira zvinodhura - munyaya iyi, chido chekuda.
Mukuwedzera, kuwedzera kwehupfumi hunoita kuti kuwedzera kwezvinhu zvingangodaro - kunyanya munyaya. Sangano reUnited States reUnited States ("Fed"), zvakare, rinowanzoita kuti huwandu hwezvibereko hurwise kupesana nemafashamo . Uye apo maawa mashomanana anotarisirwa kukwira, nguva yakareba-nguva inowanzoenderana.
Mhedzisiro yePfuma ndeyokuti kukura kwakasimba kunowanzoita kuti zvibereko zvakakwirira uye zviduku zvitsva (sezvo mitengo nemichero zvinofamba nenzira dzakasiyana ).
Kune rumwe rutivi, kuderera kwehupfumi kunononoka kuderedza kudiwa kwemari kubva kune vanhu uye mabhizinesi haashoma kutora chikwereti kuti apiwe mari nemishonga uye kutenga. Chido chekubhadhara chikwereti chinoreva matengo - munyaya ino, mutengo wekuda - inowira mumutsa.
Uyewo, kuwedzera kusimba kunoreva kuti Fed inowanzoita kuti kuderedzwa kwemaawa mashoma ekutsigira hupfumi. Somugumisiro, nguva yakareba-yeHaigari inobereka inowanzowa apo hupfumi hwezvemari hunotarisirwa kuderera.
The Impact of Growth Trends pane Zvimwe Zvikamu zveBond Market
Kunyange zvazvo nzvimbo dzose dzebhizimisi rechibvumirano dzichizopedzisira dzava kutora matanho - sezvo, nenzira yakarurama kana kuti zvimwe, hurumende dzeUnited States dzinoonekwa sekuchengetedzwa kwakachengeteka munyika yose uye naizvozvo ndiyo yekutanga kune imwe mushamba - mamwe marudzi ezvisungo anowanzoita kuti vabatsirwe kukura kwakasimba, pane kukuvadzwa nayo.
Kazhinji, nzvimbo idzi dzakabatanidzwa zvikwereti zvakasununguka , zvinobuda mumisika yemaketani , uye zvikamu zvakaderedzwa zvisungo zvekambani . Sei ichi?
Chokutanga, zvibereko zvavo zvakakwirira zvekuti kuzvininipisa kunofamba muHaimari inobereka zvishoma zvisingabatsiri pakuita kwavo. Semuenzaniso, kana mari yemakore gumi ichikwanisa kubhadhara 2,0%, chikwereti chekuchengetedza mari uye chibereko che 2.5,5% 8.5% (a 6.5 muzana-pakati pacho).
Chechipiri, zvisungo zvemakambani nemakambani anotengesa mabhizimusi anotengesa simba ravo rezvemari. Izvo zviri nani masheti ayo emari, zviyero zvemari, uye maitiro emabhizimisi epasi pfupi, zvishoma zvingave zvavanenge vasisipo (kureva kuti, vanorasikirwa nebhadharo wevakuru kana kufarira). Uye zvakaderera mukana wekusavapo, pasi pezvibereko vanoita mari vanoda kuvabhadhara ivo pangozi yekutsvaga mune zvekuchengeteka kwakadaro.
Somugumisiro, apo kuwedzera kwehupfumi hwezvehupfumi kunogona kunge kusina kunaka kwePfuma, zvinowanzove zvakakosha kuva chikonzero chepamusoro-kubvuma kusungirwa apo chikwereti chekweretesi chiri chinhu chinonyanya kukoshesa vatengesi. Izvi zvinobatsira kuita kuti nyaya yacho iite kuti vatengesi vanofanira kusiyanisa pane kusimbisa pane imwe chikamu chimwe chemashamba ematengesi.
Pasi pane migumisiro yematanhatu makuru emaketheni emabatanidzwa mumamiriro ezvinhu ehupfumi akasiyana kubva munaJanuary 1, 1994, kusvika munaMarch 31, 2012, maererano naDeutsche Bank. Izvi zvinobatsira kuratidza kuti kunyange kukura kwakasimba kunowanzomanikidzira kubhadhara kwakakwana kwehurumende hurumende, iyo inowanzova nemigumisiro yakanaka kune zvikamu zvepamusoro-misika yemakakiti:
US GDP Kukura Kupfuura 0%
- US government bonds: 10.82%
- GNMAs: 8.96%
- Investment grade grade bonds: 2.94%
- Kusungwa kweMaspala: 3.56%
- Emerging market bonds: -2.12%
- Zvibereko zvakakosha zvezvibereko: -12.13%
GDP Kukura 0% -2%
- US government bonds: 7.04%
- GNMAs: 6.67%
- Investment grade grade bonds: 7.49%
- Kusungwa kweMaspala: 5.97%
- Emerging market bonds: 9.86%
- Zvikwereti zvakakosha zvezvibereko: 5.00%:
GDP Kukura 2% -4%
- US Government bonds: 6.29%
- GNMAs: 6.98%
- Investment grade grade bonds: 9.02%
- Kusungwa kweMasisita: 7.14%
- Emerging market bonds: 14.63%
- Mahombekiti ehomwe yezvibereko: 11.57%
Kuwedzera kweGDP Kupfuura 4%
- US Government bonds: 3.35%
- GNMAs: 4.91%
- Investment grade grade bonds: 4.35%
- Kusungwa kweMaspala: 3.79%
- Emerging market bonds: 14.27%
- Kuzvipira kwepamusoro kwehutano: 7.59%