Kuita Dhigogisi Kunogadzirisa Sei Zvinhu?
Semuenzaniso, kusiyana pakati pemutengo we petrol uye kupisa mafuta kumagumo e 2015 uye kutanga kwegore ra2016 apo mutengo wemafuta asina kuiswa mafuta wakanga uchiwa wakaratidza kuti zvinyorwa zvekupisa mafuta zvakanga zvakawanda.
Panguva imwecheteyo, kudai peteroli kwakasimuka panguva inononoka yenguva yegore yemiti yakagadzirwa nemafuta, nguva yegore apo zvinyorwa zvese zviri pasi. Paiva nezvikonzero zvekusiyana pakati pemitengo yezvinhu zviviri zvemafuta. Kutanga kunotyisa kusvika munguva yechando kwakaderedza kudiwa kwekutsvaira mafuta uye mutengo wakaderera we petrol mumakore yakanyanya kudiwa kubva kunevanodhairi. Pakupera kwegore ra2015, mutengo weEYMEX mafuta usina kuchena wakadzika kupfuura 30% nekupisa mafuta pasi kwe 38% uye peterosi pasi 14% chete pagore. Iyo ndiyo muenzaniso wekusiyana nekushandiswa kwekupararira kwezvinhu.
Takaona kumwe kusiyanisa muna 2015, mune chinhu chinenge chakanyanyisa kupfuura mafuta. Iko kushandiswa kuparadzirwa kwe soya kwakanyanyisa kuderera apo michina miviri ye soya yakaenda mumutengo. Sesiya yakakura yakawira pasi pe15% muna 2015 pamusoro pegore negore. Parizvino, mutengo wekudya we soya yakadarika ne27%.
Kudya uku kazhinji chinhu chikuru chekudya kwemhuka uye kune zvimwe zviito zvakare. Mafuta eSoybean akaparadzaniswa kubva pamutengo wekudya uye soybea yakasviba inowira 4.4% chete muna 2015. Mafuta eSoybean anokosha pakubika uye zvokudya zvakawanda zvakadai semashizha ekugarisa uye mayonnaise ane mafuta ema soya.
Kufanana nekupisa mafuta uye mafuta, izvo zvinogadzirwa nemafuta asina mafuta, soybeans kudya uye soybean mafuta ndezvokudya zve soybeans yakasviba. Kana zvasvika pakugadzirisa mafuta, kushandiswa kwemvura yakasvibiswa inowanikwa mukunatswa patsva mune chinokonzera chikafu. Nokudaro, izwi rinopararira kupararira kwekushandiswa kwemafuta mune zvigadzirwa. Munyika ye soya, kugadziriswa kwezvinhu zvakasvibirira zvekurima zvinowanikwa mumusango unopwanya apo kudya uye mafuta ndiyo michero yekudzvinyirira kwebhinzi tsvina.
The Divergence of Soybean Commodities
Pakutanga kwegore ra2015, kupwanya kwakapararira kwekutenderera soybe mukudya uye mafuta yaive inenge inodarika madhora 9 nebhasiro, pakupera kwegore kuputsika kwepakati kwaipararira kwaiva pamadhora matanhatu nebhasi. Izvi zvinotitaurira zvakawanda pamusoro pekudiwa kwemaseya evhaya uye michina ye soya iyo inoshandiswa pamusika we CBOT weCME . Kutanga, inotitaurira kuti chibage chakawanda muna 2015 chakawedzera masikirwo emasiya ega uye maitiro e soya saka, zvichiita kuti mitengo iwire. Chechipiri, inotitaurira kuti hupfumi hwekugadzira soybea mumiti ye soya yakaderera kupfuura gore. Kuparara kwekuputika kwakapararira kuti makambani iwayo aibatanidzwa mukugadzira masheya akaita mari shoma kupfuura pakutanga kwe 2015. Mienzaniso miviri ndeyeArcher Daniels Midland (ADM) uye Bunge Limited (BG).
Kusiyana kwezvokudya zve soya uye mafuta emafuta eyesoya zvinobatsira kuziva nezvekudiwa. Zviri pachena kuti kudiwa kwamafuta e soya kwaive kwakanaka kupfuura kwekudya panguva yose yegore. China, mutengi mukuru wemafuta e-soya akapa vanhu vazhinji voruzhinji vakatsigira mutengo wemafuta e soya sezvavakapedza uye vakavaka zvigadzirwa zvemiti ye soya munguva yemberi. Kunyange zvazvo mutengo wepakati rose wakaputika wakapera, kushandura soybeans yakasvibirira mumafuta e-soya kwaibatsira pachako apo kushandiswa kwekudya kwakanga kusiri. Mutengo weiyo yaiwanikwa yakaderera kupfuura mutengo wemusika wekugadziriswa kwakagadziriswa. Sezvo mutengo wemafuta wakanga uri pasi 4.4% chete uye mutengo wehairi yakasviba wakadzika kupfuura 14% mu 2015, mafuta e soya akachengetedza marginal of bean crushing from falling even further on the year.
Uyezve, pane nguva yakareba, mutengo wekudya we soybean nemafuta yakadzokera kune imwe nharaunda iri pedyo nemamiriro ezvakaitika kare negore rekupedzisira kushandura kunoreva kuti kuparadzaniswa kwegore negore kwaiva kugadziriswa kwemazuva mazhinji ekusiyana pakati pemiti miviri ye soya. Kubvira muna 2013, mutengo wekudya we soya wakapfuura mafuta e soya. Nhoroondo yezvakaitika nguva dzose inokosha apo inosvika pakusangana kwepakati pakati pezvinhu .
Kutevera kushandiswa kwekupararira uye zvikamu zvayo sezviri munyaya ye soya inoparadzira kuperesa kwekukohwa zvakakosha, chaiyo-nguva yedheyo dheinhau pamusoro pemazuva ano mazvinhu . Iyi ruzivo haruna kuwanikwa nekutsvaga mazita emakona emasiyasi uye michina ye soya pachavo.