Nei Mafuta Asina Kujeka?
Mafuta asina mafuta ndeimwe yezvinhu zvinonyanya kukosha kana zvasvika kune zvose zvemari pasi rose uye geopolitics.
Izvozvo ndezvokuti kugadzira uye huwandu hwekuchengetedzwa kwezvinhu zvinowanikwa mune imwe yenzvimbo dzakaoma zvikuru dzepasi, kuMiddle East. Kushandiswa kwakapararira, vanhu uye mabhizinesi munyika yose vanovimba nemafuta nemafuta emafuta nokuda kwesimba rinoita kuti nyika ishande nekufamba.
Sezvo zvichida mune zvematongerwo enyika uye zvinowanikwa kwose kwose, mutengo wekutengesa mumafuta asina kuchena unobata mamwe misika. Rimwe kirasi yeasset iyo inowanzoenderana nekuchinja mumutengo wamafuta inowanikwa. Makambani mazhinji vashandi emafuta uye mutengo wakaderera unobvumira mafirimu aya kuderedza mitengo saka vachiita kuti vakwikwidzane. Mari yepasi inodhura inoderedza mari yezvinhu zvakatengesa saka kuwedzerwa kwemiganhu yemiganhu. Kune vashandi mumwe nomumwe, mutengo wemafuta ari pasi chinhu chinhu chakanaka - zvinoreva zvakanyanya kuwanikwa kwemari. Zvisinei, kune avo vanobatanidzwa mukugadzirwa kwemafuta, kutsvakurudza kana mabasa ehurumende yepetroleum mutengo wakaderera unopesana chaizvo.
Uyezve, kukosha kwemitengo yepasi yevatengi kunokosha kudarika kune varairi . Kune vashandi, mutengo wemafuta wepasi unobata chete chikamu chebhizimisi ravo rose. Kune vashandi , mitengo yepamusoro yeoli inobata zvose zvebhizimisi ravo.
MuUnited States mararamiro akaenzana, pane dzakawanda makambani akanyorwa akabatanidzwa mune zvose zvikamu zvekambani yepetroleum.
Aya makambani akachengetwa zvakakosha anosanganisira zvikamu zvehurumende dzinoita kuti vatengesi nevatengesi vatarise zuva rega rega. Nokudaro, mafuta akaderera anowanzova nemafungiro akaipa pane zviyero zvakaenzana uye mutengo wematombo muzhinji. Zvisinei, muna 2015 uye pakutanga kwegore ra2016 kusiyana kwakavapo pakati pemutengo wemafuta asina kuchena uye mafuta ehuori. Mutengo wemafuta asina mafuta akatengesa mari inopfuura $ 107 pamigomo munaJune 2014. Panguva iyoyo mutengo weNerption Select SPDR (XLE), ETF yemafuta emafuta muU.S., yakanga inopfuura $ 101 per share. Mukati raJanuary 2016, mutengo we NYMEX wakashanda mwedzi wakashanda wakawanda wakakonzerwa kusvika kumaodzanyemba kubva muna May 2003 apo waitengeserana ne $ 26.19 pamubhadhari musi waJanuary 20. IXLE yakaderera yakaderera nemafuta asina kuchena, panguva imwechete iyo ETF yakatengesa pamasikati ye $ 49.93 chikamu chega. Zvisinei, muna May 2003 iyo ETF yakafanana yakanga iri kutengesa kumazinga akanga ari pasi pe $ 22 per share. Nokudaro, kushanda kweXLE kwakakonzera kushanda kwemafuta asina mafuta.
Chimwe chezvikonzero zvekugadzirwa kwacho kungave kuti apo mafuta akagadzira purogiramu yakasiyana-siyana gore rakapoteredza $ 42 munaMarch 2015, yakakurumidza kudzoka kusvika kudarika $ 60 pamubhairi. Mukupera kwaAgasti ya2015, apo mafuta asina kuchena akagadzira imwezve itsva pasi pa $ 37.75 yakakurumidza kubhadhara kudarika $ 50.
Iko kukatengeswa kwekuenzanisa kwekupedzisira kwaJanuary kunogona kunge kwakamirira imwezve kugadziriswa pamutengo wezvigadzirwa zvemavambo kutanga kwegore ra2016. Izvi zvakaitika sezvo mutengo wemafuta asina kufanira ari pedyo wakaenda kune yakakwirira ye $ 34.82 musi waJanuary 28 - kuwedzera kwemutengo wepamusoro 30% mumazuva masere chete. Panguva imwecheteyo, XLE yakashandura $ 7 kana 14% yakakwirira kupfuura nguva.
Chinhu chakakosha ndechekuti mutengo wemafungiro emafuta hauna kuratidzira zvakajeka chiito mumafuta asina kuchena sezvo XLE inoramba yakarongeka zvakanaka muna 2008 asi mafuta asina kunyanya aifamba akaderera zvikuru. Izvi zvinotitaurira kuti kana mutengo wemafuta wakawira kure kana mutengo wemafungiro emafuta akanga asina kutora mutengo wezvokudya.
Kuzvidzivirira kwakadai kunowanzoita mukana. Vatengesi vezvemabhizimisi vanoongorora nguva dzose misika vachitarisira kusiyana. Apo maintengo ematengo anotsauka, mukana wekutengeserana kunoreva kuchinja kunobuda.
Izvi zvinoreva kuti imwe yemusika iyo inoshongedza imwe ichazopedzisira ichingobata kubhadharisa kune avo vanozvitenga uye vanotengesa imwe. Muchiitiko ichi, kutengeswa kweXLE ETF uye kutengesa panguva imwe chete yemafuta emafuta asina kukwana kwaizogadzira kushambadzira kana kushandiswa kunobereka michero yakanaka kana ETF ichibatanidza ichibata nemutengo wamafuta. Imwe ramification yekuparadzana uku inogona kunge iyo yekutengesa mutengo, kazhinji, inogona kuwira semutengo wemafuta asina kuchena akambomira zvakanyanya kudarika kwemwedzi yapfuura. Icho chikonzero chokuti mazana emafuta akaenzana asina kufanana akawanda muzvienzanisi zvakaenzana anogona kuita izvi seuporofita huri kuzadzika.