Kune zvakawanda zvakashandurwa zvakaitika muna 2016 mumutengo wemafuta usina kunyanya kushandiswa uyo unobata mutengo wawo. Kuchinja mumusika chero upi zvake kunopa mikana yevatengesi nevatengesi uye mafuta asina kuchena haasiwo.
Basa reOOPEC nderokuti " kuronga nekubatanidza mapuroleum emitemo yenyika iyo uye kuratidza kugadziriswa kwemisika yemafuta kuitira kuti ive nehuwandu hwakanaka, hwehupfumi uye hwehuwandu hwepetroleum kune vatengi, mari inogadziriswa kune vhizimisi uye kubhadhara zvakakwana pamari iyo inotora mari mumakambani epetroleum . "Mukutarisana kwekutengesa kwemafuta emafuta, OPEC yakaratidza shale mafuta kubva kuNorth America sechikonzero chemutengo wakaderera. Iyo cartel, inotungamirirwa nemukuru mubazi Saudi Arabia, yakasarudza kutsvaka nzira yekuputika mumusika nemafuta kuitira kuti mutengo waizoderera pasi pekubhadhara kwemari muU.S., zvichiita kuti zvigadzirwa zvipere kuti zvimire. Chinangwa chaOOPEC chaiva chokuvaka chikamu pamusika nekubvisa mukwikwidzi anokwikwidza kubva pamusika.
Kunyange zvazvo nhamba yezvikwata zvichishanda muUnited States yakawirwa zvakanyanya, kubuda kwemafuta hakuna kumira pamwero wakakwana. Parizvino, nhengo dzekamberi iyi dzakaramba dzichitengesa mafuta zvine utsinye. Mutengo wakaderera wakaita kuti nhengo dzakawanda dzeOOPEC dzitengese mamwe mafuta kuti kuwedzere mari inotenderera uye nhamba yemabhiri emafuta akatengeswa mumusika zuva rega rega rakaramba richiwedzera.
Kunyange zvazvo mutengo wakadzoka kubva munaFebruary 2016, mafuta akaramba akadarika hafu yehafu yaive muna June 2014. OPEC yakasvika pakuziva kuti urongwa hwekuvaka mari yemugove uye kuwedzera mutengo wamafuta nekukwikwidza kushandiswa kwebasa kubva pamusika kwaiva kwete kushanda. Vanhu vokuRussia ndivowo nyika huru inobereka mafuta. Kutanga kumavambo kwa2016, vanhu vokuRussia vakatanga hurukuro nevatariri veOOPEC. Chimwe chezvinetso mukati me cartel chaiva ukama hwekukakavadzana pakati pemasimba maviri ane simba, Saudi Arabia neIran . Russia, ine chido chokuwedzera mutengo wamafuta, yakashanda semurevereri pakati pemarudzi maviri kuti atarise mamiriro acho ezvinhu. Musangano muDhaha, Qatar muna March yakaisa danho rekubatana pakati pevanhu veOOPEC neRussia. Musangano wechipiri muAlgeria pakaguma kwezhizha yakagadzirisa danho rekuchinja mumugwagwa we cartel.
A Kubva Kubva Kuchembera Strani
MuAlgeria, nhengo dzeOOPEC pamwe chete neRussia dzakabvumirana pamusoro pekugadzirisa kwechibvumirano chaizodzinga mutemo wekufashura mumusika nemafuta asina mafuta. Chimwe chikwata chekugadzirwa kwezvinhu chaisanganisira mavharesi uye kusunungurwa kwevamwe nhengo uye kudonhedzwa nevamwe kuchakurukurwa uye kugamuchirwa pamusangano weNovember 30 wegore repiri weOOPEC muVienna, Austria.
Mukutungamirira kune musangano mukuru weOOPEC, kukurukurirana kwakapfuurira. Mutengo wekutengeswa kwechibvumirano wakaramba uri pasi, kukakavadzana pakati peSaud nedzimwe nhengo dzenhengo dzaisimbirira kusunungurwa kubva kune imwe yezvakagadzirwa zvinyorwa zvakaita kuti vakawanda vaone kuti basa raizoguma. Zvisinei, paawa yegumi nerimwe, nhengo dzakazosvika pakubvumirana. Izvo zvaireva kuti urongwa hwokutengesa mafuta pasina kusiya hwakasvika pakuguma.
Zvematongerwe Enyika muUnited States
Mavhiki mashomanana zvisati zvaitika, musi waNovember 8, mhepo yekuchinja kwezvematongerwe enyika yakapararira pasi rose sezvo sangano reU.S. rakasarudzwa Donald Trump mutungamiri wekutsvaga weUnited States. Pakati pekukakavara kwehofisi yepamusoro yepamusoro yehupfumi hwepasi rose, vatsva vakapikisana nenyaya dzakawanda. Chimwe chezvinyorwa zvakatora nzvimbo yepamusoro yaiva nzvimbo yeUnited States munyika uye inoshamisa simba rinokwanisa rudzi.
Kwemakore masere akapfuura, Obama hurumende yakanyatsotarisa nyaya dzekuchinja kwemamiriro ekunze uye zvimwe zvinetso zvezvakatipoteredza zvakakonzera kuwedzera kwemitemo pamusoro pezvigadzirwa zvemagetsi.
Mitemo ishoma
Kuuya kwehutungamiri kwakavimbisa kuti pamutemo umwe neumwe mutsva , vachabvisa mitemo miviri iripo uye indasitiri yemagetsi inogona kunge yakatarisana uye inotarisana kana ichiuya kune izvo zvigadziriswa. Mumakore apfuura kutevedza mitemo yehurumende kwakawedzera mari yekuita bhizinesi mune simba rekushandisa. Sezvo mitemo iyo isinganyanyi kunetseka pamabhizimisi mumwedzi uye makore anouya zvinogona kuderedza mari yekugadzira yezvigadzirwa zvemagetsi uye mafuta asina kuchena hazvisi izvo. Uyezve, imwe yemamwe makambani akavimbiswa ndeokuita kuti US izvimirire kuzvimirira.
Simba Rokusununguka
IUnited States ine zvakawanda zvakachengeterwa mafuta asina mafuta uye gasi chaiwo mukati memiganhu yayo. Iko kushandiswa kwepamusoro kwekutengesa kwezvinhu zvekugadzirisa kwezvinhu nekuda kwekusagadziriswa kwemitemo kuchawedzera kukohwa. Uyezve, kufambira mberi kwekambaniki kwakaderedza kudhura kwekugadzira kwemakore makore apfuura. Kana zvasvika pakuchengetwa kwemafuta, kupera kwepamusoro nekuenzanisa zvigadziri zvinokonzera kuve kwakaguma nekubudirira kunobudirira. Sezvo inotengeswa inodhura kuderera uye kuwedzera kwekugadzirwa kwezvinhu, United States inogona kuwedzera kutengeswa kwemafuta asina kukwana uye kugutsa zvido zvenyika pamusoro pekuuya kwemakore.
Infrastructure Building uye Fiscal Stimulus
Imwe yemushandirapamwe unopikira kubva kuhutungamiri hutsva ndewokuvakazve United States kuumba mabasa kuburikidza nekuvakazve migwagwa, mabhiriji, zvikwata zvepamhepo uye zvimwe zvikamu zvehutano hwehutano hwehutano. Nguva yekupedzisira ikoko yakanga iri basa guru rekuvaka zvivakovheni muUnited States raiva muma1950 panguva yekutonga kweEisenhower. Chivako chinoda zvinhu zvakasikwa uye chido chezvigadzirwa zvakawanda, zvicherwa, uye zvekugadzira zvigetsi zvichamuka.
Mumakore mashoma apfuura, kubvira muna 2008 matambudziko emari, US Federal Reserve yakashandisa mutemo wemari yekusimudzira hupfumi nekukurudzira kubhadhara nekushandisa nekudzivisa kuchengetedza. Zvisinei, iyo bhagital inowanzoti mari yezvemari inogona kungoenda kusvika kure uye mari yekusimudzira mari inofanirwa kusimbisa hupfumi hwehupfumi. Chimwe chivako chekuvaka zvivako chekugadzirwa kwezvivakoti chichapa kukurudzira uye zvichida kuti kukura kwezvemari kuwedzera muna 2017 uye mberi. Sezvo GDP ichikwira, kudiwa kwemafuta asina kukodzera ingangowedzera kuwedzera kutengesa mitengo. Mutengo wakagadzikana uye wakakwirira wemafuta uchachengetedza zvinhu zvepamusoro pamusoro pemari yadzo yekugadzira uye bhizinesi rekugadzira magetsi richabudirira munzvimbo iyoyo.
Muchengesi webere uye muhutu husina mafuta wakatanga kubva munaJune 2014 kusvika munaFebruary 2016. Pakupera kwegore ra2016, mutengo wepava pedyo nemafuta emagariro emagumisiro emitambo yakabvumirana paNew York Mercantile Exchange division yeChicago Mercantile Exchange yaitengeserana kupfuura $ 50 pamuromo level. Brent mafuta asina mafuta anotengesa kuIntercontinental Exchange akanga atanga kusvika ku NYMEX yakawanda. Kunyange zvazvo mutengo unoramba uri pahafu yepamusoro kwaive muna 2014, uchiri pamwero umo US inotora inogona kufamba uye ine mitemo shomanana uye kuwedzera kwekuda mari yebhizimisi rekuita muUnited States inogona kunge iri pamucheto wekuvandudzwa patsva.
IXLE ndiyo Energy Energy Sector SPDR EFT chiratidziro chinoratidza kushanda kwekambani mumafuta, gesi uye zvinotengesa mafuta, midziyo yemagetsi nemhizha rebasa. Kuwedzerwa simba rinobudiswa nemitemo shomanana kunogona kuvandudza kushanda kwekambani dzine chokuita nemagetsi. Zvisinei, kukosha kweT ETF ibasa remutengo wezvinhu. Mubairo wekutengesa weT ETF inosiyana apo mafuta ari pamadhora makumi matatu nemakumi matatu pamuranda wepamusoro akaenzaniswa ne $ 50 kana $ 100 pamiganhu yemigero. Asi apo makambani emagetsi anobatsira, ETF inowanzotenda.