The Recession Inopera Zvokupedzisira
Inofungidzirwa ye 2009 GDP yakashandurwa
Heino maonero ekupedzisira eGDP kwekota imwe neimwe muna 2009 ( ine zviyero zvinotangira mavabereki ):
2009: $ 13.939 trillion muna 2011 uye $ 14.119 trillion muna 2010
- Q1: $ 14.375 trillion ($ 14.381 trillion muna 2013 kudhindwa, $ 13.893 trillion muna 2011 kudhindwa, $ 14.049 trillion muna 2010).
- Q2: $ 14,356 trillion ($ 14.342 trillion muna 2013 revision, $ 13,854 trillion muna 2011, $ 14.034 trillion muna 2010).
- Q3: 14.402 trillion ($ 14.384 trillion muna 2013 kuvandudzwa, $ 13.920 trillion muna 2011, $ 14.114 trillion muna 2010)
- Q4: $ 14.542 trillion ($ 14.564 trillion muna 2013 revision, $ 14.087 trillion muna 2011, $ 14.277 trillion muna 2010).
Muna 2009, mutengo wekuwedzera kweGDP waiva 2,8 kubva muzana. Mune mamwe mazwi, hupfumi hwakabvumirana ne 2.8 muzana. Izvi zvinotarisa kuchinja muGDP chaiye kubva kumativi mana kusvika kumativi mana.
Iko yakakosha yekukura kweGDP iri pakati pe 2-3 muzana. Pasi pane 2 muzana haizogadziri mitsva yemabasa ekukura kwevashandi. Zvinopfuura 3 kubva muzana zvinoreva kuti hupfumi hunoenda kune imwe nzvimbo yebasa . Izvi zvinowanzogadzira kutengesa kwezvinhu uye kuwedzera kwemitengo. Dzimwe nguva mitengo yakakwirira ichaderedza kudiwa. Kazhinji kacho, bubble inoputika, uye hupfumi hunopinda mukuderera .
Panguva iyoyo, hurumende inobvumirana, uye huwandu hwekuwedzera kweGDP hunochinja. Kazhinji kuongororwa kwekugadzirwa kwemari kunonzi GDP. Zvisinei, zvakakosha kubvisa migumisiro yekutengesa kwemari, iyo inoitwa muGDP chaiye . Kukura kwemazana kunoshandisa GDP chaiye kuenzanisa kukura kubva kubva kune imwe kuenda kune imwe inotevera.
Pano GDP kukura nechechina, uye tsanangudzo yezvakaitika.
2009 GDP yegore: -2.8% (2012 revision yaiva -3.1%, 2011 yaiva -3.5%, 2010 yaiva -2.9%.
Q1: -5.4% (2012 revision yaive -5.3%, 2011 yaiva -6.7%, 2010 kuvandudzwa kwaiva -4.9%, 2009 kudzokorora kwaiva -6.4%)
- Pamberi - Upfumi hwakakwira 6.1%, zvichida nekuda kwezvinyorwa zvishoma. Icho chaiva chechitatu chechina chekuita mumutsetse, uye chechina kubva pakuderera kwekutangira kwakatanga muna Q4 2007. Kuderera kweQ1 kwaingova zvishoma kuderera kudarika 6.3% mu Q4 2008. Iyi ndiyo nguva yokutanga kubva kuDambudziko rekudarika iro GDP yakawira zvinopfuura 5% pamakamuri maviri mushure. Iko (yakaoma kwazvo) sirivha yokugadzirisa ndeyekuti chikuru chakakonzera kuderera kwaiva kuderera kwezvinyorwa zvebhizimisi. Izvi zvinoreva kuti zvinyorwa zviri kuoma, zvingaita kuti kuwedzerwa kukonzera chikwata chinotevera kana mirairo ichiramba yakasimba. Kupera kwebhizimisi yekugadzira kwakapiwa 2.79 points ku Q1 kuderera uye .11 mu Q4. Apo maumbirwo akabudiswa kubva kuhuwandu, Q1 GDP yakawa 3.4% kana ichienzaniswa ne6.2% mu Q4 2008. Zvisinei, kushandiswa kwepedyo kwemakambani emakambani eUnited States kwakapa 1.36 kubva muzana maonero ku Q1 kuderera uye 2.01 nhamba ku Q4 2008 inopera. Chimwe chipo chaive chikafu chakanga chiri kugoverwa mune zvokutengeserana.
- Chechipiri - Upfumi hwakabvumirana ne57% muQ1. Izvo zvakasara muAmerica motengesi yekutengesa zvakapa 1.36 kubva muzana inotarisa ku Q1 kuderera uye 2.01 nhamba ku Q4 2008 inopera. Chimwe chipo chaive chikafu chakanga chiri kugoverwa mune zvokutengeserana.
- Chechitatu - Kukura kwaiva pasi 5.5%. Upfumi hwakabvumirana ne5% kubva pamakamuri maviri mumutsara, yekutanga kubva Kubva Kudenga Kukuru .
Q2: -0.5% (Kuburitswa kwe2013 kwaive -0.4%, 2012 kuvandudzwa kwaive -3%, 2011 kuchinja kwakachengetedza pa -7%)
- Zvichiitika - Hurumende inoshandisa mari yakawedzera upfumi, iyo yakaita 1% - yechina kupesana mumutsara uye yechishanu kubvira pakatangira mutengo muna 2007. US motokari yekutengesa iri kuwedzera, uye ichawedzera kuwedzera mu Q3 neCash for Clunkers purogiramu. Hurumende inokurudzira hupfumi nekuchengetedza hupfumi huno husati hwava kuora mwoyo. Zvisinei, kudzokera kune chikwereti chekweretheni chinowanzodiwa kuti uwane kuzorora zvakakwana.
- Chechipiri - Mukufamba kusina kujairika, BEA haina kugadzirisa kukosha kwayo, yakasara pa1%. Izvo zvakashata zvingadai zvakanyanya kuipa kunze kweHurumende Stimulus Program . Kushandiswa kwehurumende kwakapa 1,25% kuGDP kukura, maererano neEconompic.
- Chechitatu - Upfumi hwakaramba .7% muna Q2 2009.
Q3: 1.3% (2012 revision yakaitwa 1.4%, 2011 yaiva 1.7%)
- Pamberi - Upfumi hwakawedzera 3.5%, izvo zvaireva kuti technically kutengesa kwapera. The Economic Stimulus Package , iyo yakagamuchirwa muna March 2009, yakaita kuti hupfumi hukwanise kuibvisa kunze kwenyika muQ3.
- Chechipiri - Kukura kwakadzokororwa kusvika ku 2.8%. Nhamba yakawanda yakauya mumwedzi wakapera, iyo yakaratidza kuti zvekutengeserana dzimba uye kushandiswa kwemunhu zvakange kusina kusimba sekutanga kufungidzirwa.
- Chechitatu - Kukura kwakadzokororwa kusvika 2.2%.
Q4: 3.9% (2012 revision yakave 4%, 2011 yaiva 3.8%, 2010 yaiva 5%)
- Zvichiitika - Upfumi hwakakura huri 5.7%, asi hafu yekukura ikoko yaive yepamabhizimisi zvakare ekuisa pasi pasi yekuunganidza. Upfumi hwaizove huri kukura 2.3% kunze kwekugadzirisa zvinhu, maererano neEcono-blogger Inonzi Risk. Nzvimbo yekutengesa uye kushandiswa kwevatengi zvakaderera mu Q4. Izvi zvinodiwa kuchengetedza chero hupenyu huripo.
- Chechipiri - Kukura kwezvehupfumi kwakavandudzwa kusvika ku5,9%, asi mabhizimisi achichengetedza pasi pfupi yekutsvaga mhando 4 mapoka ezvo kukura. Econo-blogger Inonzi Risk yakaratidza kuti:
Kushandura muzvinyorwa zvepachivande ndezvokupfuura (zvinongogumira zvishoma pamatambo mashoma pakutanga kwekuwanazve), uye kunyange zvazvo nhamba yepamusoro yaive yakadzokororwa, chido chekupedzisira chakanga chisina simba kudarika kufungidzira kusati kwaitika.
Anoramba achicherechedza kuti kushandiswa pakushandiswa kwevanhu uye yekugara kwekutsvaga kwakarongedzwa pasi mu Q4. - Chechitatu - Mutsara wacho wakataura kuti 56% kukura, asi mushure mekutorazve kugadziriswa kwekutengesa kwepasi, nhamba chaiyo yaiva 1.8%.