Ndeipi Inofanirwa Kuwedzera GDP?

Kushanyira Kwakafanira Sei Kuwedzera Kwemari?

Iko kuwedzera kwehupfumi hwePGDP ndeyeyo inochengetedza kuitira kuti hupfumi hurambe huri mugaba ekuwedzera kwebhizimisi kwenguva refu zvichibvira. GDP ndiyo inoshandiswa purogiramu yakawanda yemudzimai. Izvo zvose zvezvematongerwo enyika zvegore rapfuura. Purogiramu yekukura kweGDP ndeyekuti huwandu huzhinji hupfumi hwakabudiswa kudarika mukota yapfuura. Nhamba yakakodzera iri pakati pe 2-3 muzana.

Muhupfumi hwehutano hwakanaka, kusashanda kwebasa uye kutengesa kwezvinhu zvakakosha.

Izvo zviyero zvekushaya basa zvichave pakati pe4,7 muzana uye 5.8 muzana. Izvo zvinotarisirwa kutengesa kutengesa zvichange zvive mazana maviri muzana

Iwe unofunga kuwedzera kukura, zviri nani. Asi kuwedzera kweGDP kwakanaka kwakafanana nekupisa kwemuviri we 98.6 degrees. Zviri pachena, kana kutonhora kwako kwakaderera pane zvakakodzera, unoziva kuti unorwara. Kana yakanyanya kuderera, uri pedyo nekufa. Asi kupisa kwakakwirira kunogona kureva kuti unorwara. Kana iri kupfuura 100, une fivhiri. Kana iri pamusoro pedhigirii 104 pane imwe nguva, iwe uri kurwara rufu.

Kana hupfumi huchikura zvishoma nezvishoma, kana kunyange zvibvumirano, zviri pachena kuti hauna utano. Asi, kana ikakura nokukurumidza, iyo haina kunaka, kana. Zvechokwadi, kana kukura kweGDP kuchikwira kupfurikidza nepamusoro kwe4 muzana kwezvikamu zvakasiyana, zvinowanzoreva kune humwe hutengo hwehumwe hwemhando. Mukushambadzira kwebhizimisi, chikamu chinotevera kuwedzera ndicho chikwata.

Upfumi hunoenda muhupfumi kana Federal Reserve isingaiti chinhu.

Izvi ndezvokuti kana hupfumi huchikura zvakanyanya, hunopisa. Kune mari yakawanda yekudzingirira mashomanana mashoma ekuwedzera kukunda mikana. Vashandi vanotanga kuisa mari yakawandisa muzvikwereti zvishoma. Pavanorasikirwa nemari, vanotya. Vanotanga kutengesa, zvichiita kuti zvimwe zvipikirwa zvirasire mari. Hazviperi kusvikira mutengo wakadzika zvakakwana kuti urege kupenga uye kukwezva vatengesi zvakare.

The Feds 'mutemo wemari ndeimwe yezvikonzero zvebhizimisi .

Mienzaniso

Muna 1999-2000, pakanga pasina kushamwaridzana kwakashata kwepamusoro pekombiyuta yepamusoro. Pakazosvika 1999, huwandu hweGDP hweUnited States hwakanga hwave huwandu hwe5% muchetatu yechitatu uye kuputika 7.1 muzana muchina yechina. Muna 2005-2006, kubwinya kwezvinhu zvakange kuri mumba. Hurumende yakakura 4.3 muzana mukutanga kwegore ra2005, uye 4.9 kubva muzana rokutanga rokutanga ra2006. Munguva mbiri idzi, GDP kukura yakasimudzwa pamusoro pe3 muzana yezvikamu zvakasiyana-siyana mumutsara.

Apo GDP kukura iri pamusoro pezvakanaka, inogonawo kukonzera kutengesa . Muna 1999-2000, kuwedzera kweUnited States kwakange kuri 2,7 muzana-3 muzana. Pakazosvika 2003-2005, yaiva 3 kubva kune 4 kusvika kuzana. Izvo zviri nani pamusoro pe 2 muzana zvinotarirwa nehuwandu hwekuwedzera kwehupfumi.

Kana imwe nguva bhubu rakaputika, hupfumi hunopinda muchikamu chekudzivirira kwebhizimisi. GDP kukura kazhinji inowira panopinza uye inopinda munharaunda isina kunaka, iyo inomiririra kutengesa kwenyika. Muna 2008-2009, GDP yeU.S. yakagadziriswa mumagetsi mashanu. Pakazosvika 2000-2002, yakasimuka kupfuura 2 muzana mune rimwe roga uye shrank muzvigaro zviviri.

Kukura Kwehutano Hwokukura Ndiko 2 Pfumbamwe kusvika 3 Percent

Economists inobvumirana nehuwandu hwekuwedzera kweGDP inopfuura 2 muzana asi pasi pe4 muzana.

Pakati pekudzoka kwemaviri, gore rehupfumi hwekuwedzera huri hwakanaka:

• 2.5 muzana muna 2003.
• 3.9 muzana muna 2004.
• 3.2 muzana muna 2005.
• 2.7 muzana muna 2006.
• 2.0 muzana muna 2007.

Kukura kwegore negore kunosvibisa huwandu hwemwedzi wega wega. Zviratidzo zvekusangana kwematambudziko emari muna 2008 zvakaonekwa mune izvi zvishoma-kupfuura-zvakanaka pfumbamwe kweGDP kuwedzera kwehuwandu. Semuenzaniso, kuwedzera kwegore negore ra2006 kwakatarisa zvikuru pa2,7 muzana, asi mamiriyoni emitengo yakanyeverwa pamusoro pekushayikwa kwehupfumi mune imwe nguva yegore. Upfumi huri kukura kuva 0,1% muQ3. Yaiva chirwere chemaawa 2.7 muzana muna Q4. Izvozvo zvakaitika pakarepo mushure mekunge dzimba dzacho dzichikwira. The subprime mortgage crisis yakanga iri mhosva.

Muna 2007, zvakaratidzika sekuti hupfumi hwaizotorazve, uye mhirizhonga uchange uchitarirwa neimba. Zvadaro, kukura kwakaderera zvikuru mu Q4:

• Q1 0,2 muzana
• Q2 3.1 muzana
• Q3 2.7 muzana
• Q4 1.4 muzana.

Munguva yekutengesera kwe2008 , GDP kukura maitirwo akanga asina kunaka. Matambudziko muimba ainge apararira kune varairi vezvekuchengetwa kwemari kunotengeswa , sezvo dambudziko rezvemari rakakonzera hupfumi hwose.

• Q1 -2.7 muzana
• Q2 2.0 muzana
• Q3 -1.9 muzana
• Q4 -8.2 muzana.

Obama Inherited yeChepfumi Hwakawanda

Mutungamiri mutsva akatanga sangano reEconomist Stimulus Program muna March 2009 kuzovandudza hutano nekuita kuti hupfumi huve hutano. Isati yasvika, inguva mbiri dzekutanga muna 2009 dzakanga dzisina kunaka. Vakadzokera kunharaunda yakanaka munharaunda yechitatu.

• Q1 -5.4 muzana
• Q2 -0.5 muzana
• Q3: 1.3 muzana
• Q4: 3.9 muzana.

Kuwedzera kwezvikamu munharaunda yega yega yega ye 2010 kwakanaka, asi kwete zvishoma mukati ma 2-3 kubva muzana. Muna 2011, hupfumi hwakabvumirana mukutanga kwekota. High foreclosures kubva ku subprime mortgage crisis yakanga ichidzivirira misika yemusha kubva pakuwanazve.

Ndiyo Economy Healthy Now?

Vaongorori vazhinji vanogunun'una kuti ikozvino kuUnited States kunotyisa. Vanoti kuedza kukurudzira kukura kwezomnotho kwakakundikana. Vanyori vezvematongerwe enyika vanosimbisa mazano avo vachadzorera kukura kusvika ku4 kubva muzana. Asi, havazivi kuti kukura, kune chikamu chikuru, mukati mehutano hwakanaka.

Pano GDP kukura kwega roga kubva kubva muna 2012. Zvimwe, Current GDP Growth Rates .

2012 2.2 Percent Healthy

Q1 2.7 muzana Healthy.
Q2 1.9 muzana Muongorori weMutungamiri wakagadzira kusava nechokwadi.
Q3 0.5 muzana Dutu guru reSandy.
Q4 0,1 muzana Mari yepamusoro. Kuchengetedzwa.

2013 1.7 Percent Slow Growth
Q1 2.8 muzana Cold weather haina kuita zvekutengesa shure kwezvose.
Q2 0.8 muzana Imitemo yakabhadhara mitero yakaguma.
Q3 3.1 muzana Healthy.
Q4 4.0 muzana Kuvharwa kwehurumende kuregererwa nekutengesa motokari.

2014 2.4 Percent Healthy
Q1 -1.2 muzana Inventory nyora pasi mushure mekushaya simba kwekutengesa kwemazororo.
Q2 4.0 muzana Kukura kwakasimuka kubva pakatanga rokutanga.
Q3 5.0% yezana 16 muzana bump mumari yekushandisa mari.
Q4 2.3 muzana Healthy,

2015 2.6 Percent Healthy
Q1 Mazana maviri muzana Muduku kunokonzerwa nemhepo yechando.
Q2 2.6 muzana yeEconomy yakawedzera.
Q3 2.0 muzana Aine utano hwakanaka.
Q4 0.9% Dhora rakasimba rakaderedza zvinyorwa.

2016 1.6 Percent Slow
Q1 0.8 muzana Kutengeswa kwekamberi kwakawa, kuderedza bhizimusi mari.
Q2 1,4 muzana Simba reDorlar rakaderedza zvinyorwa.
Q3 3.5 muzana Auto motengesi, chivako chinoshandiswa.
Q4 2.1 muzana Utano hunokonzerwa nemari yekushandisa.

2017
Q1 1.2 muzana Mari yeHurumende yakawa.
Q2 3.1% Masimba ekutengesa akasimba akashandisa mari.
Q3 3.2 kubva muzana Yakaramba yakashandiswa kushandiswa kwevatengi.
Q4 2.6 muzana Mari inoshandiswa yakashambadzira pazvinhu zvakagadzikana.

Mukuderera: GDP chaiyo | Zvikamu zveGDP | Enzanisa GDP Pakati Penyika; GDP vs. GNP | Gross National Income | Kuora mwoyo