Is 2018 yeGoddilocks Economy?
Uyu hupfumi hunobudirira hunotumidzwa nezvenyaya yakakurumbira yevana, Goldilocks neTatu Bears.
Musikana muduku chete akangodya peji yebere uye yakanga isina kunyanya kana kupisa. Kufanana nevhareji, Goldilocks hupfumi humwe "hwakarurama."
Zvinokonzera uye Migumisiro
Ichi ndicho chinangwa chekutonga kwemari kweFed neCongress ' yemari yehurumende . Vanotsvaka kuumba chido chakanaka chekuchengetedza hupfumi kudonha nekufamba kwakanaka.
Zvisinei, Congress inayo ine zvinangwa zvezvematongerwo enyika zvinopesana nekusika Goddilocks hupfumi. Vatungamiri veChishanu havabvumi kuti vangaita sei. Tea Party Republican inotsigira kupa-side economics uye Reaganomics , nepo vamwe vanotenda mumitemo yeClénesian.
Somugumisiro, iyo Fed inowanzobhadhara apo zvinangwa zvezvematongerwo enyika zvinopesana nekwanisi yematongerwo emari ekugadzirisa hupfumi hweGoldilocks. Ichokwadi, vaongorori vazhinji zvino vanofunga kuti yakagadziriswa zvakakwana pakuumba hupfumi hwehutano zvisinei kuti mutemo wehurumende unoita sei. Somugumisiro, vanonyanya kutarisa paFed.
"Zvakaita sokuti Gordilocks yakapinda muimba yezvigaro zvitatu uye yakawana hove yakanga iri kupisa mumukoko mukuru wemagetsi," akadaro Seth J. Masters, mukuru mukuru wezvemari yeBernstein Global Wealth Management, "Chokwadi, inongova kutonhora kwakanaka mukati asi kune chikonzero chacho. Zvakaoma kusaisa pfungwa pa microwave. "
Izwi rinogona kunge rakave rakasikwa naDavid Shulman, mukuru wezvemari weUCLA Anderson Forecast, uyo akanyora nyaya muna 1992 inonzi "The Goldilocks Economy: Kuchengeta Nyuchi paBay." Mairi, akarondedzera hupfumi panguva yeClinton Administration , uko hupfumi hwakanga huchipisa zvokuti hunoita kuti hurumende iwedzere kubudirira, asi yakanyatsogadzirisa kuchengetedza Fed kubva kushandisa chirongwa chemari chekugadzirisa kuchengetedza kutengesa. Izvozvo zvinowanzoreva kuwedzera kwechirwere chekuda, iyo inoshambadzira vatengesi uye mabhizinesi haafariri nekuti inomutsa mari yavo uye inoderedza mararamiro avo emiganhu. Icho chaisanganisira chirango chakangwara, sezvo izwi rokuti "mabheya" rinotsanangura vatengesi vemabhizimisi vanotenda kuti misika iri kuderera, kana kupinda mumusika webere .
Mienzaniso
Mutungamiri Bill Clinton weVashandi vebazi Robert Reich vakatsanangurawo ma1990 seGoddilocks kupora mu White House musangano wenhau muna 1995.
Mutungamiri wekare weBritain, Ben Bernanke, akavimbisa mari kuti US inoramba ichibatsirwa kubva kune rimwe gore reGoddilocks yehupfumi hwake mukupupurirwa kwayo kuDare reBudget Committee musi waFebruary 28, 2007. Izvi zvaiva kupesana nekutengeswa kwemusika wekutengeswa kwakaitwa nevekare Sachigaro weChirungu cheAlan Greenspan rekuti pane 50 muzana yemukana wekudarika kwemakore gare gare gore iroro.
Akanga ari gore rimwechete kubva. Greenspan akataura zvakare kuti kushaya mari kweAmerica kwaive chinhu chikuru. Sangano reBhodi Boka William Poole rawedzera kuti matengo ematengo akanga asina kuwedzerwa, sezvakange asati aitika kare 2000 . Kune mamwe, ona 2007 Financial Crisis uye Financial Crisis Timeline .
Mutungamiri weDare re Economic Economic Advisers haana kubvumirana muna 2007 Economic Report yeMutungamiri . Yakanyevera nezvekuguma kwehupfumi hweGoldilocks iyo nyika yakanga yave yakanakidzwa kubva muna 2004. Yakanyatsofunga kuti bhengi rezvematongerwo enyika dambudziko raisazopararira kunze kwemabhanki, mabhenji uye zvivako. Yakagara ichitaura kuti kukura kwaizoenderera mberi muna 2008, nekunamatira kusvika kumagumo egore. Yaifunga kuti Bush inosvitsa mutero inogona kugadzirisa subprime mortgage crisis .
Muna 2017, mutungamiri mukuru weHarare Investment wepasi rose Greg Valliere akati hupfumi hwakapinda mune imwe Gordilocks hupfumi hwehupfumi.
Akacherechedza kuti kune hukama hwakasimba hupfumi pasina hupfumi.