Zvikonzero Zvishanu Zvokudya Zvokudya Zvicharamba Zvichienda
Forecast
Muna 2018, Dhipatimendi reUniversity reUnited States rinofanotaura kuti mitengo yezvokudya ichawedzera kubva pa 1.0 kusvika ku 2.0 muzana. Mutengo wenzombe uye mhou inokwira 2.0 - 3.0 muzana.
Mitengo yehizha ichawedzera 4.0 kusvika ku200 muzana. Nhamba yezviyo uye yekubheka ichakwira kubva ku 3.0 kusvika ku4 muzana. IA USDA inotarisira mitengo yemafuta, michero, nemiriwo kudonha.
Zvimwe Zvikonzero Zvokusimudza Zvokudya Zvitengo
Pane zvikonzero zvishanu zvekutengesa kwezvinhu mumitengo yezvokudya zvepasi rose. Vachaendesa matengo ezvokudya munguva refu. Panewo nguva pfupi pfupi iyo inobatsira kugadziriswa uye kuda. Izvo zvinosanganisira mamiriro okunze, zvirwere zvemhuka, uye njodzi. Izvi zvinotevera zvikonzero zvina zvinokonzera mitengo yakakwirira kupfuura nguva.
1. Mafuta emafuta akakwirira anomutsa mari yekuendesa. Zvokudya zvinotakura kutakura kure. Iwe unogona kutarisira kukwirira kwemafuta emasvondo masere pashure pekuwedzera kwemafuta emangwana.
Mitengo yemafuta inosanganisirawo kupura. Mafuta nezvibereko zvinosanganisira chikamu chinokosha chemumanyorera. Izvo zvinopa 20 muzana yemari yekutakura zviyo. Pakazosvika 2001 na2007, mutengo mukuru wemafuta wakawedzera makumi mana kubva muzana kusvika pamari yekukura zviyo, gorosi, uye soya.
2. Kuchinja kwemamiriro ekunze kunoita kuti mvura zhinji iwedzere. Kupisa gasi kunokonzera kupisa kunopisa, zvichiita kuti kutonhora kwemhepo kuwedzere. Mhepo inopisa inobata mhepo yakawanda. Inonaya zvishoma, mvura kubva mumakungwa uye nzizi dzinoputika, uye nyika inomesa. Apo inonaya mvura, mvura inoyerera ichibva kune imwe nyika panzvimbo yekupinda mumvura yemvura.
Izvozvo zvinoita mafashamo.
3. Hurumende yeUnited States inopa ruzivo rwegorosi yezviyofuels. Iko kunotora chibage kubva pakudya, kukwidza mitengo. America ikozvino inoshandisa makumi mana kubva muzana yezviyo zvayo zvezviyo kuita ethanol. Izvo zvinobva 6 kubva muzana muna 2000.
4 Chechitatu, World Trade Organization inogadzirisa zviyero zvezviyo uye gorosi zvakabhadharwa izvo nyika inogona kuwedzera kune zvese zvepasi. IUnited States, European Union , uye dzimwe nyika dzichiri kusimukira zvakanyanyisa ruzivo rwemabhizimisi avo ezvekurima. Varimi vemunyika idzodzo vanowana kushandiswa zvisina kunaka mune zvebhizimisi. Iti mitemo yeWTO iri kutengesa kuderedza izvi. Asi zvinoderedzawo kuwanda kwezvokudya zvinowanika mukushota. Iko kunowedzera mutengo wezvokudya kusagadzikana .
5. Vanhu vari pasi pose vari kudya nyama. Ndizvo zvavari kukura zvakanyanya. Zvinotora zviyo zvakawanda kuti zvifudze mhuka dzinodiwa kudya kwezvokudya pane zvakakosha kune zvokudya zvekudya. Kunyanya kudiwa kwekudya kunoreva mitengo yakakura yezviyo.
Recent Trends
2008. Mitengo yezvokudya yakasimudza 6.4 kubva muzana maererano neKutevedzwa kweNhamba yeAdha yezvokudya. Icho chaive chikuru chegore rimwe chete kubva muna 1984. Zviongorori zvekutengeserana zvakakonzera mitengo yakakwirira yezvokudya muna 2008 uye 2009. Sezvo dambudziko rezvemari rose rakaputsa mitengo yemabhizimisi emashamba , vatengesi vakatizira kumisika yemari.
Somugumisiro, mutengo wemafuta wakasimudzirwa ku rekodhi yemadhora 145 mubhazi munaJuly, kutyaira motokari yemari kusvika $ 4.00 negoroni. Chikamu cheizvi chakakonzerwa nekuwedzera kwekutsvaga kubva kuChina nekuIndia , iyo yakapukunyuka nechepasi pe subprime mortgage crisis . Iyi bubble yenyama inopararira kune gorosi, goridhe uye mamwe mararamiro ane chokuita nemisika. Zvokudya zvezvokudya zvakawedzera munyika yose. Somugumisiro, zvokudya zvinokonzerwa nevanhu vanotarisana nenyasha zvakaputika munyika dzisinganyanyi kubudirira.
2011. Muna 2011, mitengo yakasimudza 4.8 muzana. Dzimwe nyanzvi dzakati izvi zvakabatsira kuArab Spring mhirizhonga. Maererano neBan World , gorosi yemitengo inopfuura kudarika kaviri muna 2011. Masango makuru eRussia akaparadza mbeu muna 2010. Mukupindura, vatengesi vemabhizimisi vakafambisa mutengo kunyange zvakanyanya kuti vashandise izvi. Vakatengesa chibage, shuga, uye mafuta ekubika mafuta. Kusanaya kwakadziva kumaodzanyemba kweUnited States kwakaderedza hen kubva, zvichisimudza mazai evha.
Kudengenyeka kwenyika yeJapan kwakaderedza kushandiswa kwehove, kuderedza zvidyiro zvegungwa zvakaderera.
2012. Kusanaya kwakange kusina kukonzera mitengo yakawanda yezvokudya, iyo yakangowedzera 2.5 muzana. Kusiyanisa kunosanganisira nyama yenzombe, veal, huku, uye michero. Asi mitengo yakawira yegove, mazai, nemiriwo. IA USDA yaitarisira kuti mitengo iwedzere 2.5-3.5 muzana. Izvo zvakatora izvi pamadhora zana nemakumi matatu emafuta anokonzerwa nekutyisidzirwa kwemauto ehurumende neEran uye kudiwa kwakanyanya kunokonzerwa nehotera yezororo yekufambisa. IA USDA yainyanya kunetseka pamusoro pekugadzirisa michina ye soya muSouth America.
2013. Mitengo yezvokudya yakakwira chete 0.9 muzana muna 2013. Nhamba dzemombe dzehupenyu dzakasimudza mazana maviri muzana, maererano neA USDA ye "Annual Percent Change in Food Prices by Category." Mvura inopera muna 2012 yakamanikidza varimi kuti vauraye mombe dzainge dzakadhura zvikuru kudyisa. Mvura iyi yakaomawo yakaoma mbeu mumunda. Somugumisiro, mitengo yezviyo, soybea, nezvimwewo mbeu yakasimuka. Zvinotora mwedzi yakawanda kuti zvinhu zvigadziriswe zvekutengesa kugoroka. Somugumisiro, dzakawanda zvekusanaya kwemvura zvakaitika muna 2013. Kurwisana kwakaoma kwakange kune miriwo mitsva, yakasimudza 4.7 muzana.
2014. Mitengo yezvokudya yakasimudza 2,4 kubva muzana muna 2014. Icho chakanyanya kuderera kudarika 6-7 muzana remakore. Mitengo yemhando dzakasiyana siyana dzekudya yakasimuka nekuda kwehupenyu. Semuenzaniso, kusanaya muMidwest kwakashambadza zvikodzero zvehupenyu 12.1 muzana. Kufanotaura kwaiva 28 muzana. Izvi ndezvokuti mhizha yehupenyu yakanga iri kutambura nekusanaya kwemvura kubva muna 2012. Heino maitiro emombe yemombe anokanganisa chirongwa chekuda .
ICalifornia yakasanaya, imwe yezvakanyanya kunyanya kuitika, yakaguma nemitengo yakakwirira yemichero mitsva, miriwo, uye nuts. Matengo emichero akafanirwa kusimudzirwa 4.5-5.5 muzana. Vakasimuka 4.8 muzana.
2015. Mitengo yakawedzera 1,9 muzana pamusana pega. Nherera uye veal mitengo yakasimuka 7.2 kubva pamusana pemvura muna Texas uye Oklahoma. Matengo emagetsi akawedzera 17,8 muzana nekuda kweHighly Pathogenic Avian Influenza. Hove uye zvigungwa zvinodhura 0,9 muzana pasi.
2016. Mitengo yezvokudya yakatarisirwa kuwedzera 1-2 muzana. Pane kudaro, vakawa 1.3 muzana. Dhora racho rakasimbisa 25 kubva muzana, richideredza zvokudya zvokunyika mari. Mutengo wamagetsi wakawa 21.1 muzana kubva pahuwandu hwavo hukuru hwe 2015.
2017. Mitengo yezvokudya yakasimuka 8,2 muzana, yakasimudzirwa yegore rose kubva muna 2014. USDA yakatarisira kuti mitengo iwedzere 1 muzana. Yaifunga kuti dhora rakasimba raizoramba richideredza zvinodhaka zvekutengeswa kwezvokudya. Pane kudaro, dhora rakaderera, rine chinopesana. Vagadziri vakakwanisa kutengesa zvimwe zvekudya, vachigadzirisa kupa nekusimudza mitengo yeimba. Mafuta emafuta aitarisirwawo kuramba achienzanisa. Vakasimuka pane nzvimbo, vachiwedzera kutengesa mari. IA USDA yaifunga kuti mvura inonaya yaizoenderera mberi kugadzirisa kunaya kweCalifornia.
Migumisiro yezvokudya zvinotapurirwa
Kudyidzana kwezvokudya kwakaitika muna 2008 uye 2011 zvichienderana nemitengo spikes. Vakawanda vanoti kushungurudzwa kwezvokudya kwakakonzera kuchinja kukuru kwakaunza neArab Spring.
Sezvo mutengo uchiramba uchingomuka, zvokudya zvekudya zvinogona kuva chinetso chikuru. Vatungamiri venyika, vakadai saG-20 kana G-7, vanofanira kutarisa zvikonzero zvina. Kana zvisina kudaro, kutengesa kwekutengesa kwezvokudya kuchaenderera kuumba hupfumi hwepasi pose.