Chii Chinonzi Mari Yechipfumi: Tsanangudzo uye Zvinokonzera

Kuzvidzivirira Kwoupfumi Kuzvidzivirira Kwakasamboitika

Tsanangudzo: Denga rezvemari inosanganisira kuwedzera kwemazana emitero uye maviri anoshandisa kupera. Zvakanga zvakarongerwa kuti zviitike kamwe chete musi waJanuary 1, 2013. Kuwedzera kwemitero kwaizove kwakaitika nekupera kwekutengesa kwebhadha kweBush , iyo 2 muzana yemitero yezororo yezororo yakagadzirirwa ne 2010 Obama mitero yekodzero , uye imwe shanduko yemutengo patch. Chechina ndechekugadziriswa kwemitero yeObamacare .

Icho chaive chikwata chema8,8 kubva muhomwe yezvikwereti uye zvikamu zvezvikwereti zvakapfuma. (Chinyorwa: "Pfuma Dump Dzimba," CNBC, November 12, 2012.)

Vaviri vari kupedza kudhura kwaizoitika nekupera kwekuwedzera kwebasa rekushaya mabasa uye kutanga kweiyo-ye-board 10 muzana Gwaro rebhadhiro rinozivikanwa sequestration .

Uyewo, kushandiswa kwehurumende kwaizoenda kudarika $ 16.394 trillion chikwereti kudenga muna 2013. Kana Congress isingasimudze denga, rudzi rwaizove rwakasara pane chikwereti chayo . Mutungamiriri weBarack Obama akaedza kuita kuti chikwereti chiwedzere chikamu chemafambisirano emari.

Kusatendeseka pamusoro pematombo ehurumende kwakatanga kutadzisa hupfumi huripo muna May 2012. Asi munhu wese aiziva kuti hapana chaizoitwa kusvikira mushure mekusarudzwa. Vaviri vacho vakabata mafilosofi akasiyana-siyana nenzira yakanakisisa yekuderedza chikwereti. Obama aida kubhadhara mitero kune vapfumi.

Romney aida kuderedza kusashandiswa kwemari yekudzivirira. Sezvo mhirizhonga yakasimba yakakwikwidzana yakawirwa, vatungamiriri vebhizimisi vakamirira.

Mari yeHurumende Inotsanangurwa

Kukundikana kwemitemo yezvemari kwakakonzera nzvimbo yemari. Zvingave zvakangoerekana zvawedzera mitero uye zvakaderedza kushandiswa pane imwe nguva.

Mitero ingadai yakakwira madhora 2 kusvika kune $ 3,000 pamhuri paavhareji.

Kuguma kweBush kutengesa mitero yeEGTRRA neJGTRRA ingadai yakawedzera mitero seizvi:

Kana mutero wemubhadharo watemwa wapera, vashandi vangadai vakaona imwe 2 muzana inotorwa kubva mubhadharo yavo kuenda kuSocial Security.

I AMT ingadai yakave musungo mamiriyoni makumi maviri ezviuru vashandi vanoita zvishoma se $ 50,000 pagore. I AMT yakatanga kugadzirirwa kuti inotora mutero wevateresi vepfumi. Asi sezvo yakanga isiri iyo yakakonzerwa nehutengo, iyo ingadai yakakonzera mutero kune vanowanzobhadhara mubhadharo yepakati nepakati ne $ 3 700.

Kushandiswa kwemari kwakaderera muhuwandu hwekushaya mabasa kwaizove kwakakanganisa vanhu vanenge mamiriyoni maviri vari kutsvaka basa. Kuchengetedzwa kwaizotora mari yekushandisa zvechiuto ne $ 55 bhiriyoni. Mamwe mamwe madhipatimendi aizotemwa 8 muzana. Izvo zvaisanganisira rubatsiro kune zviti, kugadzirwa kwemigwagwa, uye FBI. (Zvinyorwa: "Cliff Plunge: Zvose Asi Hazvibviri Kudzivisa Marwadzo," CNBC, November 13, 2012. "Imari yeFiscal Cliff yakatsanangurwa," Forbes, November 10, 2012.)

Sachigaro weGurumende reBurumende Ben Bernanke akashandisa shoko iri muna February 2012.

Akanyevera iyo House Financial Services Komiti, "Pasi pemutemo wezvino, musi waJanu 1, 2013, kuchava nehombe huru yemari yekudhura kwemari yakawanda uye kuwedzerwa kwemitero ..." (Chinyorwa: "Bernanke Warns ye Massive Fiscal Cliff, "The Hill, February 29, 2012.)

Muna 1987, Bhoston Globe yakashandisa iyo kurondedzera mamiriro ekubhadhara kwemari. Yakashandiswazve muna 1991 neCalifornia Representative Henry Waxman, achitaura nezvebhajethi yeOregon. (Imwe: "Oxford Dictionary.")

Zvinokonzera

Muna 2010, Mutungamiri uye Senate inodzorwa neDemate yakabvumirana neRepublican-controlled House nenzira dzakanakisisa dzekuderedza kusakwana uye chikwereti . Sezvo kushandiswa kwehurumende kwakauya kune chikwereti ichi, mapato maviri akabvumirana kusarudza bipartisan kutumira sarudzo. Mutungamiri akasarudza Komisheni musi waFebruary 18.

Akarayira kuti kuderedza chikwereti chebhajho kusvika ku3 muzana yeGDP.

Mushumo wekupedzisira weSimpson-Bowles wakatumirwa musi waDecember 1, 2010. Congress haina kuzviona. Pane kudaro, yakapfuura Mutemo weBabget Control Act munaAugust 2011. Wakatumira 10 muzana kushandisa mari yakatemwa yakanga yakatarwa kuva yakanyanya zvokuti yaizoita kuti Congress iite.

Kupera kwacho kwaibva nekuda kwezvikamu zvitatu:

1. VaDemocrates vakaramba kuwedzera kutywa kwemitero yeBush kumhuri inoita $ 250,000 kana kupfuura. VaRepublicans vakaramba kutambanudza mitero yemitero kune ani zvake kana munhu wose asingakwanisi kuva nazvo.

2. VaDemocrate vangada kupedza mari yakawanda, asi maRepublicans angadai akachera Social Security, Medicaid, uye Medicare.

3. VaRepublicans vaida kubvisa mitero yeOmbamacare.

Izvi zvakange zviri zvematongerwe ezvematongerwe ezvematongerwe enyika pamberi pegore ra2012 sarudzo dzeMutungamiri wenyika . Mushure mekusarudzwa kwaNovember, mushambadziro wepamusoro wakaderera. Izvi ndezvokuti vashandi vanobva vatanga kutora mhindu kuti vasazobhadhara mutero wekubhadhara kunowedzera pamusoro pekuwana mari uye zvikwereti kubva pakapera kweBhitrus kukodzwa kwemitero uye kuiswa kweOmamacare mutero. Pasina mari yekugadzirisa sarudzo, mabhizimisi akaenderera mberi kuderedza kukura nekubhadhara. Vakanga vasingadi kuwedzera mukusangana kwekuda kwekugadzikana. Uyezve, dzimwe dzimba dzebhizimisi dzakatengesa makambani avo muna 2012, kuti dzirege kubhadhara mutero wekubhadhara mutero muna 2013.

Ndokusaka Mutungamiri Obama akati chinhu chakakosha zvikuru mushure mokukunda sarudzo kwaive kushanda neCongress kuzogadzirisa denga rezvemari. Mukuru weGoldman Sachs, Lloyd Blankfein, vanoti mabhizimisi avo ainge akagara anopfuura $ 1 trillion mumari, achimirira Washington kuti aisarudze. Kamwe kusanzwisisa pamusoro pemitero yemitero kwakagadziriswa, iyo mari yaizoiswa kushanda, kuwedzera makambani uye kusika mabasa.

Musi waNovember 22, vatungamiri venyika neSeneti vakasangana naMutungamiri Obama, uye zvakaratidzika sechitengesheni chaive pedyo. Senate VaMutungamiri Vatungamiri Harry Reid vakati hurukuro dzakapinda zvakanaka zvokuti akafunga kuti dzaizoitwa musati Krisimasi. Zvaiita sekuti mapurisa maviri ainge asingadi kuisa. VaDemocrate vaizocheka zvishoma pane zvavaida. VaRepublicans vaizobvumira kuwedzera kwemitero kudarika zvavaida.

Mutungamiri Obama akasika hurongwa "A." Mukutanga kwaDecember, mapoka acho maviri akanga ari pedyo mune dzimwe nzvimbo. Somuenzaniso, hapana munhu aida kugoverwa . Asi Obama akabatanidza zvimwe zvinoshandiswa kushandiswa, zvakadai sokuvaka migwagwa, kuti zvechokwadi aiziva kuti haizomboperi. Ichi chikumbiro chekutanga chakakonzera nzvimbo yekukurukurirana uye kukanganisa.

Musi waDecember 12, JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon akati bhizinesi rezvebhizimisi rakanga rakanaka nepamusoro wekutengesa mutero kana hurumende yeHerald ichikwanisa kubhadhara mari yakakodzera. Izvi zvakaratidza kuti mabhizimisi aive akanyanya kusununguka pamusoro pekutengesa mutero kupfuura vazhinji veTe Party Republican . Akaenderera mberi kuwedzera kuti hupfumi hwaizokwira nokukurumidza kusvika ku 4 muzana yekukura kwechikwata kamwechete apo denga rakagadziriswa. Kufanotaura kwake kwakaratidza kuti kusava nechokwadi kwakapoteredza nzvimbo yezvemari kwakanga kuchikuvadza hupfumi hweUnited States.

Mukupera kwaDecember, Boehner akarasikirwa nekutsigira kubva kune rimwe boka rake nokuda kweChirongwa "B." Izvo zvaisanganisira kubvumirana kubvumira mutero weBush unotsvaga kubhadhara mari inopfuura $ 1 Mamiriyoni. Vazhinji veRipublican Republic vakanga vachinetseka kuti, kana vakabhadharira chero mutero wekuwedzera, vaizorasikirwa nemasarudzo emakore ekupedzisira muna 2014. Ramangwana rekutsvaga kwemaresitoresi rakakanda mapeji anopfuura mazana maviri panhau. Congress yakarambidza kwemazororo, ichivimbisa kuwana mhinduro pasati rapera gore. Kusanzwisisana pamusoro pemigumisiro yakaita kuti kukura kwehupfumi kunonoke kuderedza kusakosha kwebasa. Mazhinji emabhizimisi aifanira kunge achichengetedza uye aitevera zvirongwa zvekushanda zvaisanganisira nzvimbo yepamusoro yemari.

Hurukuro dzekudzivisa hupfumi hwakakonzera nhau muna 2012. The Republican-controlled House yakada kupedza kudhura, nepo Democrat-inotungamirirwa Senate ne White House yakatarisa pamitambo yezvikwereti. Izvi zvakashata zvakaratidza kushanduka kwemasimba ezvematongerwo enyika akaitika mushure mekusarudzwa kwegore ra2012 .

Izvo zvakaoma kusvika pakugumburana kwakaratidza kuti kure nemativi ose mairi akachera sei maonero avo. Kunyange zvazvo vakaedza kugadzirisa zvinhu, kusava nechokwadi pamusoro pemigumisiro yakaderedza hupfumi hwehupfumi, kuchengeta mamiriyoni asingashandisi.

Munguva yekupedzisira yegore, Congress haina kuwana mhinduro. Asi izvi zvaive nekuti vazhinji veRipublicans vakanga vasaina chibvumirano chekuti havakwanisi kuvhota mutero unowedzera. Pane kudaro, vaizozviwana zviri nyore kuvhota kuderedza mutero mushure mokunge matanho emitengo yeBush apera. Nokuda kwezvikonzero izvi zvezvematongerwe enyika, zvingava nyore kuwana chibvumirano kana nyika ichikwira kubva padombo kwemazuva mashomanana kana kunyange vhiki. Izvi hazvizove zvakashata, sezvo chibvumirano chero chipi zvacho chingave chakadzoka zvakare.

Chakanga chisina kufanira

Kunyanya kunetseka pamusoro pematambudziko ematambudziko ehurumende kwaiva kuti zvose zvaizvipa. Ichokwadi, chikwereti cheUnited -to-GDP chikwata chaive kupfuura 100percent, iyo isingaverengeki. Asi nokuda kwehupfumi hwakasimba seUnited States yaisava pangozi pakarepo. Kutaura zvazviri, vatengesi vaive vakanyanya kufara kuramba vachitenga chikwereti cheUnited States, kuchengetedza mutengo wekuda kune mazana maviri emakore .

Congress yakagadzira dambudziko rematokari . Zvichida zvakanga zvisinganzwisisi mari. Muna 2012, iU.S. yakanga isinganzwisisiki pachikamu chekuwedzera kwebhizimisi . Iyo yakanga isiri nguva yekufunganya pamusoro pemari yechizvarwa. Pane kudaro, nguva yakanakisisa yokukwereta mutero kana kushandiswa kwemari kunosvika kumugumo wegadziriro yekuwedzera, kudzivirira kubheta. Dai maRepublicans akanga amirira gore, uye rega hupfumi hudzoke zvakare, vangangodaro vaiva heroes.

Sezvo 2012 kukuvadzwa pasi, yakaratidza kuwedzera sekunge sarudzo yaisazowanikwa. Kunyange kana mutero wakakwira uye kupedza kushandiswa kwakagadziriswa, kwaive kuchine nguva yevasati vasarudzwa vakuru kuti vataurire mhinduro munaJanuary. Inogona kudzokerazve kuJanuary 1, kudzivisa madhora mazana matanhatu emadhora mabhiriyoni eGDP.

Nzira iyo Imari Yenyika Yakatambudza Izvo Economy

Mutero unokwidza uye kupedza kupeta ungadai wakabvisa $ 607 mabhiriyoni kubva mune zvehupfumi mumwedzi mipfumbamwe yegore ra2013 (yakasara yegore ra2013), maererano neC Congressional Budget Office . Kunyange zvazvo zvakanaka kwenguva refu yekuderedza kusakwana, munguva pfupi inotamba kukura. Ndiko kushandiswa kwehurumende chinhu chinonyanya kukosha muzvigadzirwa zvemumba . Nokukurumidza kuchicheka ne10 muzana kana zvakadaro zvinoreva kuti akaputsa zvibvumirano nebhizimisi, vashoma mabasa ehurumende, uye kuderedza zvinyorwa.

Kuwedzera kwemitero kunogona kuderedza kushandiswa kwevatengi nemari iyoyo. Mambure acho, maererano neCBC, ingangodaro 1.3 muzana kukanganisa muhupfumi kwehafu yekutanga yegore. Mune mamwe mazwi, kuderera. Kunyange zvazvo hupfumi hwaizodzoka muhafu yepiri, kukura kwaizova kuneta. Icho chakanga chisina kusvika 2 kubva muzana, mugumo wakazara wehupfumi hwakanaka. Nenzira yakanaka, dombo racho rakadziviswa. Pamusoro pemashoko ekutengeserana akange akaiswa kunze, ona Fiscal Cliff 2013 .