Ko Yuan Achadzorera Dhora seNyika Yose Mari?
Sezvo hupfumi hweChina huchikura, huri kutora matanho ekuti izvozvo zviitike. Ruzhinji rwevagari vepanzvirairi vanoona sekusingabvumirwi, asi musati munoti. Tingaona here shinje kubva kune greenback- kusvika kunyika inonzi redback-ine nyika? Kana zvakadaro, izvozvo zvichaitika sei uye rini?
Chii chaizova migumisiro?
Pamberi peyo yuan inogona kuva mari yenyika yose, inofanira kutanga ibudirire seyakachengetwa mari. Izvozvo zvinogona kupa China zvishanu zvinotevera.
- Yuan yaizoshandiswa kutengesa zvibvumirano zvepasi rose. China inotengesa zvinhu zvakawanda zvinowanikwa mutengo muma US dollars. Kudai vainge vatengesa muYuan, China haifaniri kunetseka zvakanyanya pamusoro pekukosha kwedhora.
- Zvose mabhandi makuru aifanira kubata yuan sechikamu chemari yavo yekunze kwenyika . Yuan yaizove yakakosha. Izvozvo zvingaderedza chikwereti chekuda kwezvisungo zvakasanganiswa mu yuan.
- Vatengesi vechiChinese vaizove nemari shoma yekukwereta.
- China yaizova nehupfumi huzhinji maererano neUnited States.
- Icho chichatsigira Mutungamiri Jinping kuchinja kwehupfumi . (Chinobva: "Nei China Inoda Yuan Kuti Ive Nzvimbo Yemahara," Bloomberg, March 23, 2015.)
Iyo Yuan Inenge Ive Nzvimbo Yakachengetwa
Musi waNovember 30, 2015, International International Monetary Fund yakapa kodzero yemu Yuan semari yekuchengetedza mari.
IMF yakawedzera yuan kuDaikodhi Dzakanakira Kodzero dzayo musi waOctober 1, 2016. Iri bhasi zvino rinosanganisira euro , yen yenJapan , British pound, uye US dollar.
Sei IMF yakaita chisarudzo ichi? Vatungamiri veChina vanoda kuvandudza mararamiro ehupenyu kuitira kuti vasapinda rimwe revolution. Bhuku rePBOCPeople reChina rakachengetedza yuan pakatarisa kushandiswa kwehuwandu kudhora.
Izvozvo zvakabvumira hupfumi hweChina kukura nekuda kwekudhura kwekutengesa kune dzimwe nyika kuUnited States. Somugumisiro, chikamu cheChina chekutengeserana kwenyika dzakawanda uye chibereko chakawanda chemuzinda chakakura kusvika anenge 10 muzana.
Sezvo mararamiro akakura, ndizvo zvakaita kufanirwa kwehuMwari. MunaAugust 2015, yakava mari yechina-yakashandiswa munyika yose. Yakasimuka kubva panzvimbo yechi13 mumakore matatu chete. Yakapfuura yen yenyika yeJapan, Canada loonie uye Australian dollar. (Chinobva: "Yuan Inotora Yen SeNyika Yechina Yezvokubhadharwa Kwakaitwa Mari," Bloomberg, Gumiguru 6, 2015.)
Central banking 'inofanira kuwedzera mari yavo yekutengeserana ye yuan kuti ipe mari yehuwandu hwekutengeserana. Icho chinoreva mabanki makuru ari oga anofanira kutenga anenge $ 700 mabhiriyoni e yuan. Asi mabhenji haana kumbobvira atenga ma euro ayo vaifanira kuva nawo, kunyange apo European Union ndiyo yakawanda yehupfumi hwenyika . Ndiko kushandiswa kwenyika dzakawanda kunenge kuchiri kuitwa muUS $, kunyange zvazvo basa rayo rakaderera.
IYF inoda China kuti ibudise mararamiro ayo makuru emari. Icho chinoreva kuti chaizobvumira yuan kutengeserana pachena pamisika yemari yekuchinjana . Izvo zvinobvumira mabhizimusi makuru kuti aite seiri reshandari mari. Kuti izvi zviitike, bhenji guru reChinese rinofanira kusunungura peji ye yuan kudhora .
China inofanira kuva nekunyoresa kukurukuro pamusoro pezviito zvayo munguva yemberi pamusoro pe yuan. Ndizvo zvinoshandiswa neFederation Reserve pane imwe neimwe yemisangano yake yeGreen Open Market Committee .
Musi waAugust 14, 2015, PBOC yakasunungura yuan kudhora rekutengesa mari. Panzvimbo yechinangwa chekushandura, inogona kuisa kukosha kwehuanho kuhupfumi hwahwo hwekuvhara zuva rekare. Panzvimbo pokumuka, sekuwanda kwakatarisira, yuan yakawira 3 muzana pamazuva maviri anotevera.
IPBOC yakadzikisa chiyero. Iko zvino ine rusununguko rwekutendera yuan kuti ive yakasimba yakashandiswa mumatongerwo emari. Dheta racho rakanyararawo vatsoropodzi vekushandura kweChina, vazhinji vavo vaiva nhengo dzeUS Congress . Vakanga vanyevera kukosha kwehuyu kwaizomuka zvakanyanya se30 muzana kana kupfuura. Izvozvo zvinogona kuparadza China kukwikwidzana kushanda semutengi. (Chinyorwa: "A Short Step in Long Advance yeChina," The New York Times, August 23, 2015)
Musi waNovember 30, 2015, iyo PBOC yakarondedzera zvakajeka ichaita kuti yuan iwedzere kusvika pakati pe3 kusvika ku5 muzana muna 2016. Musi waDecember 11, 2015, Bhizinesi rakazivisa kuti raizotanga kuchinja dhora iri kubhasi rebharenti. Iko tswanda inosanganisira dhora, euro, yen, uye mamwe gumi gumi mari. (Chiratidzo: "Chiratidzo Chitsva paKutanga Yuan Peg kuDorlar," The Wall Street Journal, December 12, 2015. "Nyaya Itsva yeYuan Kuomanikidza Beijing," The Wall Street Journal, November 30, 2015.)
Ye Yuan Inononoka Kutengeswa Munyika Dzakashata
Vatungamiri vechiChinese vanotanga kuita kuti zvive nyore kutengesa yuan mune misika yemari yokutengeserana. Kuita izvi zvipingamupinyi zvakasununguka zvezvemari uye zvematongerwo enyika. Musi waMarch 23, 2015, China yakatsigira Renminbi Trading Hub yeAmerica. (The renminbi rimwe zita re yuan.) Izvo zvinoita kuti zvive nyore kumakambani eNorth America kuti aite kutengesa kwehuan mu mabanki eCanada. China yakavhura nzvimbo dzakafanana dzokutengeserana muSingapore neLondon. (Chinobva: "Canada Inoda Kuwedzera Zvivako muChina Mari," The Wall Street Journal, March 23, 2015.)
Wekare weMeya weNew York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg ndiye Sachigaro weBato Rokushanda pa US RMB Trading neClearing group. Iri kusika nzvimbo yekutengeserana renminbi muUnited States. Iboka racho rinosanganisira Vaimbova Vanyori veMari yeUnited States Hank Paulson naTim Geithner. Nzvimbo iyo inogona kuderedza mari yekambani dzeUnited States kutengesa neChina. Inogonawo kubvumira US makambani emari kuti ape yuan-denominated hedges nezvimwe zvinogadzirwa. (Inobva: "Boka Rinokurudzira Kutengeserana kweChina Mari muUS" The Wall Street Journal, November 20, 2015.)
Musi waJune 9, 2016, China yakapa United States chikamu che 250 biliyoni yuan ($ 38 biliyoni) pasi peChinese reRenny Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor program. Yakagadza imwe chiChinese uye imwe bhangi reUnited States kuti iite RMB kubvisa bhizinesi muUnited States. (Kubva: "Working Group Releases Roadmap yekusimudzira US RMB Trading, Clearing," Ecns.cn, Gumiguru 9, 2016.)
Ko Yuan angashandura Dollar seNyika yeBhudha Mari?
Nhamba yekutengeserana haisi yega chikonzero che U.S. dhora ndiyo nyika inoshandiswa mari. Simba rehupfumi hweUnited States rinoita kuti tive netariro. Chinonyanya kukosha ndechokuti kuve pachena kwemashamba emari ekuUnited States uye kugadzikana kwematongerwo emari .
Kune rumwe rutivi, Stuart Oakley, mutungamiri mukuru we Nomura, akataura munyaya ye2013 kuti China ine ye $ 5 triloni yemadhora emunzvimbo yepamusoro yebhangi uye izvi zvinogona kuva mu yuan. Sezvo dzimwe miganhu yekushandurudza yakawanda inogadzirirwa uye China ichienderera mberi pasi payo nzira yayo yekutengeserana kwemahomwe, mabhizimusi makuru pakati pekuda kuva nemari iyi ichakura.
Ko chinangwa cheChina chokuita yuan mari yepasi rose chinotungamirira kudhora rekudarika? Zvichida kwete. Panzvimbo pacho, inenge iri nguva refu, inononoka iyo inoita kuti dhora riderere, kwete kuwa .